MIA @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor12:10 PM PT68°F · 4 mph wind · clear⚾ Sandy Alcantara vs Tyler GlasnowMLB.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins 3 · Los Angeles Dodgers 2
Final
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Miami Marlins on the back of Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin work and Los Angeles Dodgers’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 76%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 1.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 76%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
Miami Marlins
Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRushing singled to right, Tucker scored.2–2
- ScoreRuiz homered to left (381 feet).2–1
- ScoreSanoja reached on infield single to second, Edwards scored.3–2
- ScoreCall reached on infield single to second, Muncy scored.1–1
- ScoreHicks homered to right (398 feet).1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Miami Marlins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | .178 | .300 | .263 |
| Kyle Stowers LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | .229 | .341 | .314 |
| Otto Lopez SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .322 | .362 | .492 |
| Xavier Edwards 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .336 | .432 | .451 |
| Liam Hicks C· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .315 | .365 | .576 |
| Connor Norby 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | .226 | .330 | .376 |
| Owen Caissie RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .207 | .250 | .345 |
| Javier Sanoja 3B | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .323 | .382 | .371 |
| Graham Pauley 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .194 | .239 | .328 |
| Esteury Ruiz CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .333 | .333 | .833 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 104-73 | 3.04 | 104 |
| Andrew Nardi RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 6.55 | 12 |
| John King RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-10 | 0.66 | 15 |
| Calvin Faucher RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16-6 | 4.91 | 16 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .273 | .406 | .491 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .259 | .328 | .414 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .321 | .366 | .518 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .241 | .331 | .371 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .287 | .374 | .594 |
| Will Smith C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .270 | .333 | .382 |
| Dalton Rushing C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .348 | .423 | .848 |
| Miguel Rojas SS | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .341 | .375 | .477 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .296 | .371 | .389 |
| Alex Call LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .310 | .459 | .379 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .234 | .294 | .325 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow SP· | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 92-56 | 2.56 | 92 |
| Alex Vesia RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-4 | 1.69 | 5 |
| Will Klein RP | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 26-20 | 2.77 | 26 |
| Kyle Hurt RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-5 | 1.50 | 5 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningOhtani walked.
- 9th InningKim walked.
- 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningRushing singled to right, Tucker scored.2–2
- 5th InningRuiz homered to left (381 feet).2–1
- 8th InningSanoja reached on infield single to second, Edwards scored.3–2
- 2nd InningCall reached on infield single to second, Muncy scored.1–1
- 2nd InningHicks homered to right (398 feet).1–0