TB @ CLE
Progressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM ET50°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Drew Rasmussen vs Gavin WilliamsMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVRays.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays 1 · Cleveland Guardians 3
Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Cleveland Guardians is the model’s call — Tampa Bay Rays on the margin numbers, Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 81%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 81%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Injury Report
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
Tampa Bay Rays
Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreFraley grounded into fielder's choice to second, Díaz scored on error, Fraley second.1–3
- ScoreDeLauter singled to center, Rocchio scored and Kwan scored.0–3
- ScoreManzardo hit sacrifice fly to left, Rocchio scored.0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Tampa Bay Rays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Simpson LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .314 | .349 | .356 |
| Junior Caminero 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .256 | .328 | .487 |
| Ben Williamson 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .318 | .338 |
| Jonathan Aranda 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .220 | .333 | .450 |
| Yandy Diaz 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .330 | .421 | .478 |
| Jake Fraley RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .250 | .328 | .450 |
| Cedric Mullins CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .126 | .184 | .232 |
| Richie Palacios 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .213 | .356 | .298 |
| Hunter Feduccia C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .226 | .368 | .226 |
| Taylor Walls SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | .186 | .294 | .220 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen SP· | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 91-65 | 2.64 | 91 |
| Casey Legumina RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18-9 | 4.26 | 18 |
| Yoendrys Gomez RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29-19 | 6.23 | 29 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .221 | .310 | .292 |
| Chase DeLauter RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .257 | .345 | .485 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .222 | .341 | .436 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .186 | .268 | .244 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .321 | .391 | .564 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .266 | .303 | .489 |
| Travis Bazzana 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Bo Naylor C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .118 | .178 | .176 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .283 | .360 | .404 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams SP· | 7.2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 95-71 | 2.70 | 95 |
| Erik Sabrowski RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-3 | 2.63 | 5 |
| Cade Smith RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-10 | 3.86 | 12 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningAranda struck out swinging.
- 5th InningMartínez struck out swinging.
- 3rd InningSchneemann struck out swinging.
- 8th InningPitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 5th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 3rd InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 8th InningPitch 4 : Strike 2 Looking
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningFraley grounded into fielder's choice to second, Díaz scored on error, Fraley second.1–3
- 5th InningDeLauter singled to center, Rocchio scored and Kwan scored.0–3
- 3rd InningManzardo hit sacrifice fly to left, Rocchio scored.0–1