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In The Rafters

ARI @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor12:40 PM CT⚾ Michael Soroka vs Brandon WoodruffMLB.TVDBACKS.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Arizona Diamondbacks 1 · Milwaukee Brewers 13

Final
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Milwaukee Brewers gets the model’s nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Milwaukee Brewers’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 75%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 12.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreBlack walked, Turang scored, Bauers to second, Contreras to third.8th Inning1–13
  2. 🏃 DoubleRengifo doubled to center, Bauers scored and Contreras scored.1st Inning0–3
  3. ScoreFrelick homered to right (402 feet).7th Inning1–12
  4. ScoreContreras homered to center (419 feet), Turang scored.3rd Inning0–5
  5. ScoreTurang singled to right, Hamilton scored, Mitchell to third.4th Inning1–7
  6. 🏃 DoubleContreras doubled to left, Mitchell scored.1st Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Arizona Diamondbacks000100000162
Milwaukee Brewers30320311—13140

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Geraldo Perdomo SS·0-3300001019.236.358.371
Ketel Marte 2B·0-3300001219.233.294.388
Jose Fernandez 1B0-000000000.325.349.470
Corbin Carroll RF·2-331200008.296.397.571
Jorge Barrosa LF0-110000014.200.250.400
Adrian Del Castillo C·0-4400000319.207.246.362
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·2-4402000011.378.398.689
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF·2-4402100212.194.237.222
Nolan Arenado 3B·0-3300000112.276.314.449
Tim Tawa LF0-110000014.159.240.273
Alek Thomas CF·0-3300000211.188.225.353
James McCann C·0-3300000112.191.208.255

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Soroka SP·3.0108822179-514.7079
Philip Abner RP2.112211034-187.7134
Jonathan Loaisiga RP0.211111017-93.7717
Brandon Pfaadt RP1.011102115-135.6715
James McCann C·1.011020024-1111.2524

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Garrett Mitchell CF·2-4432001119.244.398.372
Brice Turang 2B·2-3332102018.291.422.505
William Contreras C·4-4434411019.288.363.432
Jake Bauers 1B·1-4421101023.260.321.460
Tyler Black 3B·2-4402301015.389.421.500
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-5501300120.188.255.282
Sal Frelick RF·1-5511110021.211.311.333
Greg Jones LF·0-4400000314.095.095.095
David Hamilton 3B·1-4411000120.240.345.267

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Woodruff SP·1.110012021-123.6021
Grant Anderson RP0.20000208-73.458
Shane Drohan RP4.051104060-433.8660
Trevor Megill RP1.000001012-96.5512
Brian Fitzpatrick RP1.000012020-120.0020
Jake Woodford RP1.000002010-94.3010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningTurang walked.
  2. 6th InningContreras walked.
  3. 1st InningFrelick grounded out to shortstop.
  4. 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball 4
  5. 8th InningMarte walked.
  6. 6th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningBlack walked, Turang scored, Bauers to second, Contreras to third.1–13
  2. 1st InningRengifo doubled to center, Bauers scored and Contreras scored.0–3
  3. 7th InningFrelick homered to right (402 feet).1–12
  4. 3rd InningContreras homered to center (419 feet), Turang scored.0–5
  5. 4th InningTurang singled to right, Hamilton scored, Mitchell to third.1–7
  6. 1st InningContreras doubled to left, Mitchell scored.0–1
  7. 6th InningBlack doubled to right, Contreras scored and Turang scored.1–11
  8. 6th InningBauers grounded out to first, Mitchell scored, Contreras to second, Turang to third.1–9
  9. 3rd InningRengifo grounded out to shortstop, Bauers scored, Black to second.0–6
  10. 4th InningGurriel Jr. singled to center, Carroll scored, Vargas to second.1–6
  11. 4th InningContreras singled to left, Mitchell scored, Turang to second.1–8

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