InTheRafters.com

BAL @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
11–16 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Cade Povich vs Will WarrenESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles 2 · New York Yankees 7

Final
Baltimore Orioles16-20-1-1.1 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 35%
New York Yankees25-11+2.2 net/g (SOS-adj +1.8) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

New York Yankees is the model’s call — New York Yankees on the margin numbers, New York Yankees on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 86%. Actual: New York Yankees by 5.

Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Ben RiceDay-To-DayCarlos Rodon15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

Luis VazquezDay-To-DayKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILWill RobertsonDay-To-DayRyan Helsley15-Day-IL

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreBeavers grounded out to pitcher, Alonso scored, Basallo to third.7th Inning2–5
  2. ScoreJudge singled to center, Wells scored, Rice to second.8th Inning2–7
  3. ScoreRosario singled to center, Judge scored, Bellinger to second.7th Inning2–6
  4. ScoreAlonso homered to right (367 feet).2nd Inning1–1
  5. 🏃 DoubleBellinger doubled to right, Judge scored, Bellinger to third.1st Inning0–1
  6. ScoreRice homered to right center (380 feet), Grisham scored and Goldschmidt scored.2nd Inning1–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles010000100230
New York Yankees14000011—7111

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson SS·0-4400000212.207.275.467
Taylor Ward LF·0-4400000319.294.426.429
Adley Rutschman C·0-4400000115.333.382.619
Pete Alonso 1B·1-2221112024.203.319.390
Samuel Basallo C·1-4401000117.233.313.430
Dylan Beavers RF·0-3300100111.220.293.329
Leody Taveras CF·0-330000006.275.383.435
Coby Mayo 3B·0-220000027.165.239.316
Colton Cowser RF0-110000015.183.265.217
Jeremiah Jackson 2B0-000000000.270.288.480
Blaze Alexander 3B·1-3301000114.185.254.215

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cade Povich SP·4.075524277-464.4177
Albert Suarez RP2.211143065-323.4565
Tyler Wells RP1.131101025-193.4425

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·0-4410001015.156.289.375
Ben Rice 1B·2-5512310012.330.441.728
Aaron Judge RF·2-3322102127.263.396.623
Cody Bellinger LF·2-4402101221.250.353.402
Amed Rosario 3B·1-3301101215.267.313.517
Ryan McMahon 3B0-000000000.167.268.250
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-3301001121.205.288.330
Jose Caballero SS·1-4411110114.266.310.422
Austin Wells C·1-4411000125.203.341.338
Trent Grisham CF·1-4411000017.155.297.320

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Will Warren SP·6.132119194-602.3994
Fernando Cruz RP0.20000006-43.096
Camilo Doval RP1.000002011-86.3511
Jake Bird RP1.000011019-136.3019

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningWells singled to center.
  2. 9th InningAlonso walked.
  3. 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  4. 8th InningCowser struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningBeavers grounded out to pitcher, Alonso scored, Basallo to third.2–5
  2. 8th InningJudge singled to center, Wells scored, Rice to second.2–7
  3. 7th InningRosario singled to center, Judge scored, Bellinger to second.2–6
  4. 2nd InningAlonso homered to right (367 feet).1–1
  5. 1st InningBellinger doubled to right, Judge scored, Bellinger to third.0–1
  6. 2nd InningRice homered to right center (380 feet), Grisham scored and Goldschmidt scored.1–5
  7. 2nd InningCaballero homered to left (397 feet).1–2

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