KC @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:45 PM PT⚾ Cole Ragans vs Bryan WooApple TV
Result readKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals 7 · Seattle Mariners 6
Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Kansas City Royals is the model’s call — Seattle Mariners on the margin numbers, Kansas City Royals on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 60%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 1.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 60%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Kansas City Royals
Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreThomas singled to center, Perez scored.7–6
- 💣 Home RunPasquantino singled to right, Garcia scored. Witt Jr. safe at third, Pasquantino safe at second on throwing error by right fielder Joe.1–0
- ScoreRodríguez homered to center (416 feet), Crawford scored.6–6
- ScoreArozarena homered to right (359 feet).6–4
- ScorePasquantino homered to right (404 feet).5–3
- ScoreRodríguez homered to left (402 feet), Crawford scored.4–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
Kansas City Royals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .274 | .344 | .436 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .288 | .368 | .424 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .176 | .279 | .352 |
| Salvador Perez C· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .210 | .244 | .371 |
| Carter Jensen C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .245 | .327 | .457 |
| Jac Caglianone RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .253 | .333 | .429 |
| Lane Thomas CF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .246 | .387 | .311 |
| Isaac Collins LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .217 | .330 | .313 |
| Michael Massey 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .222 | .254 | .370 |
| Kyle Isbel CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .276 | .337 | .434 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans SP· | 5.1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 95-56 | 5.29 | 95 |
| Nick Mears RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-9 | 2.31 | 15 |
| Daniel Lynch IV RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25-17 | 2.19 | 25 |
| Matt Strahm RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14-7 | 3.86 | 14 |
| Lucas Erceg RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 4.05 | 12 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .202 | .368 | .310 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | .186 | .272 | .380 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .262 | .333 | .400 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .214 | .285 | .333 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .288 | .377 | .458 |
| Mitch Garver C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | .194 | .356 | .222 |
| Luke Raley RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .244 | .301 | .488 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .276 | .346 | .405 |
| Connor Joe 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .250 | .294 | .500 |
| Dominic Canzone RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .275 | .329 | .507 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .143 | .264 | .182 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 84-60 | 4.61 | 84 |
| Cole Wilcox RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20-9 | 5.84 | 20 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-12 | 2.30 | 15 |
| Alex Hoppe RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15-10 | 10.13 | 15 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningRaleigh struck out swinging.
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 6th InningGarver walked.
- 4th InningGarver struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningThomas singled to center, Perez scored.7–6
- 1st InningPasquantino singled to right, Garcia scored. Witt Jr. safe at third, Pasquantino safe at second on throwing error by right fielder Joe.1–0
- 7th InningRodríguez homered to center (416 feet), Crawford scored.6–6
- 6th InningArozarena homered to right (359 feet).6–4
- 6th InningPasquantino homered to right (404 feet).5–3
- 1st InningRodríguez homered to left (402 feet), Crawford scored.4–2
- 1st InningCollins doubled to left, Perez scored.4–0
- 1st InningPerez doubled to left, Pasquantino scored and Witt Jr. scored.3–0
- 6th InningCaglianone homered to right (347 feet).6–3
- 5th InningJoe homered to left (398 feet).4–3