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InTheRafters.com

LAD @ STL

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM CT50°F · 2 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Emmet Sheehan vs Matthew LiberatoreMLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

Los Angeles Dodgers 2 · St. Louis Cardinals 7

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers23-14+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.7) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 50%
St. Louis Cardinals21-15-1-0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 50% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to St. Louis Cardinals on the back of Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin work and St. Louis Cardinals’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 93%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 5.

Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals

Nathan ChurchDay-To-DayRamon Urias10-Day-ILMatt Pushard15-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler GlasnowDay-To-DayBlake Snell15-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16
St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreGorman homered to right (388 feet), Walker scored.1st Inning0–3
  2. ScoreHerrera scored on a balk, Walker to third on a balk.1st Inning0–1
  3. ScoreBurleson homered to right (390 feet).3rd Inning1–4
  4. ScoreHerrera scored on a balk, Walker to third on a balk.1st Inning0–1
  5. ScoreTucker hit sacrifice fly to center, Freeman scored, Smith to third.6th Inning2–4
  6. ScoreChurch grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Walker scored, Winn out at second.7th Inning2–7

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers010001000272
St. Louis Cardinals30100030—7120

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·0-5500000122.261.392.470
Freddie Freeman 1B·2-441200009.267.333.417
Will Smith C·1-3301001118.272.340.380
Teoscar Hernandez LF·1-3301001118.238.310.396
Kyle Tucker RF·0-2200101020.237.328.364
Andy Pages CF·1-4411000121.319.362.509
Max Muncy 3B·1-3301101016.288.378.596
Miguel Rojas SS·0-4400000014.313.346.438
Santiago Espinal 3B·0-220000027.200.200.280
Hyeseong Kim SS1-220100009.304.375.411

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Emmet Sheehan SP·4.284408297-685.2397
Jack Dreyer RP1.120001021-123.1421
Edgardo Henriquez RP1.023210024-145.2324
Kyle Hurt RP1.000002012-91.2912

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·0-5500000219.246.365.459
Ivan Herrera C·2-5522000222.246.412.412
Alec Burleson 1B·1-3321111123.279.360.467
Jordan Walker RF·4-442420008.308.373.583
Nolan Gorman 3B·1-4411210018.224.289.383
Masyn Winn SS·2-3302000014.265.350.363
Nathan Church LF·1-4401100219.236.271.427
Pedro Pages C·1-4401000219.261.307.435
Victor Scott II CF·0-4400000212.171.233.220

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Matthew Liberatore SP·5.252224096-594.5096
George Soriano RP1.100011025-133.6825
Gordon Graceffo RP1.010011017-80.9817
Matt Svanson RP1.010000016-119.6816

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st InningGorman homered to right (388 feet), Walker scored.0–3
  2. 1st InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  3. 6th InningT. Hernández walked, Smith to second, Freeman to third.
  4. 1st InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  6. 5th InningBurleson struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningGorman homered to right (388 feet), Walker scored.0–3
  2. 1st InningHerrera scored on a balk, Walker to third on a balk.0–1
  3. 3rd InningBurleson homered to right (390 feet).1–4
  4. 1st InningHerrera scored on a balk, Walker to third on a balk.0–1
  5. 6th InningTucker hit sacrifice fly to center, Freeman scored, Smith to third.2–4
  6. 7th InningChurch grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Walker scored, Winn out at second.2–7
  7. 7th InningWalker doubled to left, Herrera scored. Burleson scored and Walker safe at third on fielding error by left fielder T. Hernández.2–6
  8. 2nd InningMuncy doubled to center, Pages scored.1–3

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