LAD @ STL
Busch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:15 PM CT49°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ Roki Sasaki vs Michael McGreevyMLB.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers 2 · St. Louis Cardinals 3
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans St. Louis Cardinals because Los Angeles Dodgers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and St. Louis Cardinals has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 72%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 1.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 72%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreWalker homered to left (372 feet), Burleson scored.0–3
- ScoreMuncy singled to right, Tucker scored, T. Hernández to third.1–3
- 🏃 DoubleBurleson doubled to right, Herrera scored.0–1
- ScorePages singled to left, T. Hernández scored, Muncy to second.2–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .252 | .381 | .454 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .266 | .331 | .411 |
| Will Smith C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .263 | .336 | .368 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .238 | .326 | .361 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .250 | .325 | .404 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .299 | .390 | .598 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .319 | .366 | .504 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .293 | .364 | .397 |
| Alex Call LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .300 | .447 | .367 |
| Santiago Espinal 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .200 | .280 |
| Dalton Rushing C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .340 | .415 | .830 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .241 | .299 | .329 |
| Miguel Rojas SS | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .306 | .340 | .429 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roki Sasaki SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 104-65 | 5.97 | 104 |
| Alex Vesia RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18-8 | 1.54 | 18 |
| Jake Eder RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-11 | 2.25 | 13 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .238 | .355 | .444 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .248 | .414 | .419 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .280 | .364 | .472 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .315 | .377 | .605 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .216 | .280 | .369 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .264 | .347 | .368 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .237 | .270 | .430 |
| Ramon Urias 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .164 | .288 | .327 |
| Victor Scott II CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .167 | .237 | .214 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 88-52 | 2.52 | 88 |
| Ryne Stanek RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22-13 | 7.71 | 22 |
| JoJo Romero RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-10 | 3.94 | 17 |
| Riley O'Brien RP | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26-16 | 2.20 | 26 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningCall grounded out to second.
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
- 6th InningChurch grounded out to second.
- 5th InningPages walked.
- 4th InningSmith walked.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningWalker homered to left (372 feet), Burleson scored.0–3
- 9th InningMuncy singled to right, Tucker scored, T. Hernández to third.1–3
- 3rd InningBurleson doubled to right, Herrera scored.0–1
- 9th InningPages singled to left, T. Hernández scored, Muncy to second.2–3