NYM @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT⚾ Nolan McLean vs Reid DetmersESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVAngels.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels
New York Mets 3 · Los Angeles Angels 4
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Los Angeles Angels gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Angels’s margin advantage, with New York Mets’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 69%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 1.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 69%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreTaylor singled to center, Semien scored.3–3
- 💣 Home RunAdell singled to right, Schanuel scored, Soler thrown out at third.0–1
- ScorePeraza singled to center, Frazier scored, Adell to second, Soler to third.3–4
- ScoreIbáñez hit sacrifice fly to center, Vientos scored.2–3
- ScoreGrissom singled to center, Soler scored and Adell scored.1–3
- ScoreBichette singled to center, Slater scored.1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .237 | .276 | .319 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | .338 | .442 | .538 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .226 | .305 | .387 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .238 | .287 | .363 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .220 | .273 | .288 |
| Andy Ibanez 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Carson Benge LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .179 | .235 | .263 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .214 | .241 | .339 |
| Austin Slater LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .429 | .429 | .571 |
| MJ Melendez LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .313 | .371 | .594 |
| Ronny Mauricio SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .219 | .219 | .313 |
| Brett Baty RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .207 | .265 | .304 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan McLean SP· | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 78-51 | 2.97 | 78 |
| Tobias Myers RP | 2.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36-23 | 2.05 | 36 |
| Huascar Brazoban RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-13 | 1.15 | 18 |
| Craig Kimbrel RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12-9 | 4.26 | 12 |
| Austin Warren RP | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20-13 | 2.08 | 20 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | .221 | .333 | .390 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | .256 | .431 | .556 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .240 | .299 | .364 |
| Adam Frazier 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .255 | .339 | .418 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | .239 | .338 | .477 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | .268 | .306 | .370 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .167 | .220 | .321 |
| Vaughn Grissom 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .318 | .385 | .477 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .295 | .361 | .489 |
| Travis d'Arnaud C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .133 | .257 | .167 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .184 | .317 | .322 |
| Bryce Teodosio LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .242 | .286 | .273 |
| Sebastian Rivero C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers SP· | 6.1 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 95-68 | 4.28 | 95 |
| Sam Bachman RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18-13 | 3.18 | 18 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23-15 | 4.91 | 23 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 10th InningSoler walked.
- 4th InningLowe struck out looking.
- 10th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4
- 10th InningAlvarez flied out to second.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningTaylor singled to center, Semien scored.3–3
- 1st InningAdell singled to right, Schanuel scored, Soler thrown out at third.0–1
- 10th InningPeraza singled to center, Frazier scored, Adell to second, Soler to third.3–4
- 7th InningIbáñez hit sacrifice fly to center, Vientos scored.2–3
- 4th InningGrissom singled to center, Soler scored and Adell scored.1–3
- 3rd InningBichette singled to center, Slater scored.1–1