LAD @ STL
Busch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:15 PM CT74°F · 8 mph wind · overcast⚾ Justin Wrobleski vs Dustin MayMLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4 · St. Louis Cardinals 1
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Los Angeles Dodgers gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin advantage, with St. Louis Cardinals’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 57%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 3.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 57%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBurleson singled to center, Walker scored.3–1
- 🏃 DoublePages doubled to left, Tucker scored, Muncy to third.1–0
- ScoreCall singled to left, Pages scored.4–1
- ScoreFreeman singled to center, Kim scored.3–0
- ScoreKim singled to right, Muncy scored, Pages to third.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .246 | .382 | .443 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .271 | .333 | .419 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .250 | .328 | .398 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .236 | .322 | .362 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .300 | .394 | .591 |
| Dalton Rushing C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .340 | .421 | .800 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .317 | .363 | .504 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .317 | .382 | .417 |
| Miguel Rojas SS | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .300 | .345 | .420 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .232 | .289 | .317 |
| Alex Call LF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .323 | .462 | .387 |
| Santiago Espinal 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .200 | .280 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski SP· | 6.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83-58 | 1.25 | 83 |
| Will Klein RP | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25-15 | 3.07 | 25 |
| Blake Treinen RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 4.00 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-8 | 1.88 | 13 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .238 | .353 | .438 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .242 | .410 | .408 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .307 | .373 | .591 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .279 | .361 | .465 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .273 | .352 | .373 |
| Jose Fermin LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .273 | .324 | .424 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .247 | .279 | .433 |
| Pedro Pages C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .247 | .291 | .411 |
| Ramon Urias 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .158 | .279 | .316 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .214 | .278 | .366 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 95-59 | 5.15 | 95 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16-8 | 5.29 | 16 |
| Jared Shuster RP | 2.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23-16 | 3.18 | 23 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningFermín struck out swinging.
- 9th InningRojas grounded out to shortstop, Pages to third.
- 7th InningRojas walked.
- 6th InningFermín popped out to third.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningBurleson singled to center, Walker scored.3–1
- 2nd InningPages doubled to left, Tucker scored, Muncy to third.1–0
- 9th InningCall singled to left, Pages scored.4–1
- 5th InningFreeman singled to center, Kim scored.3–0
- 2nd InningKim singled to right, Muncy scored, Pages to third.2–0