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InTheRafters.com

TEX @ DET

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:20 PM ET⚾ Jack Leiter vs Tyler HoltonPeacock
Result readDetroit Tigers

Texas Rangers 1 · Detroit Tigers 7

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Detroit Tigers is the model’s call — Detroit Tigers on the margin numbers, Texas Rangers on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 61%. Actual: Detroit Tigers by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Detroit Tigers

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Texas Rangers
ED Ezequiel Duran LF · #20 EC Evan Carter CF · #32 BN Brandon Nimmo RF · #24 JJ Josh Jung 3B · #6 CS Corey Seager SS · #5 JS Josh Smith 2B · #8 JB Jake Burger 1B · #21 MG MacKenzie Gore P · #1 DJ Danny Jansen C · #9
Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreHigashioka grounded out to first, Duran scored, Smith to third.7th Inning1–3
  2. ScoreLee singled to right, Carpenter scored.7th Inning1–4
  3. ScoreMcGonigle singled to right, Rogers scored.6th Inning0–3
  4. ScoreTorkelson homered to left center (388 feet), Greene scored.5th Inning0–2
  5. ScoreMcGonigle singled to right, Lee scored, McGonigle to second, Rogers to third.7th Inning1–5
  6. 🏃 DoubleVierling doubled to right, McGonigle scored and Rogers scored.7th Inning1–7

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers000000100170
Detroit Tigers00002140—781

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·1-4401000219.300.374.462
Andrew McCutchen LF·1-3301000013.205.250.318
Alejandro Osuna LF0-110000014.235.409.294
Corey Seager SS·1-4401000211.213.315.410
Josh Jung 3B·1-4401000011.325.381.535
Jake Burger 1B·0-4400000217.216.248.388
Evan Carter CF·0-4400000017.170.288.300
Ezequiel Duran LF·1-4411000013.275.342.406
Josh Smith 2B·2-3302001012.217.324.239
Kyle Higashioka C·0-3300101018.208.296.292

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jack Leiter SP·6.25551101100-735.45100
Tyler Alexander RP0.13220006-51.726
Gavin Collyer RP1.000002021-150.0021

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Kevin McGonigle SS·2-4412200012.315.407.477
Matt Vierling CF·1-4401200213.214.269.357
Colt Keith 3B·0-4400000111.323.356.394
Zack Short 3B0-000000000.000.000.000
Riley Greene LF·0-3310001219.290.393.452
Spencer Torkelson 1B·1-4411210323.225.348.441
Kerry Carpenter RF·1-4411000216.213.303.468
Wenceel Perez RF·0-3300000010.161.230.286
Hao-Yu Lee 3B·1-3311100214.212.278.364
Jake Rogers C·2-332200009.182.216.303

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tyler Holton RP·0.210001017-115.2717
Brenan Hanifee RP1.210001024-180.0024
Brant Hurter RP3.120012038-261.5038
Ricky Vanasco RP1.111112028-186.7528
Kyle Finnegan RP1.010001010-70.5410
Burch Smith RP1.010000018-112.1618

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningCarpenter popped out to second.
  2. 9th InningHigashioka grounded out to second.
  3. 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  4. 8th InningTorkelson struck out swinging.
  5. 7th InningTorkelson struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningHigashioka grounded out to first, Duran scored, Smith to third.1–3
  2. 7th InningLee singled to right, Carpenter scored.1–4
  3. 6th InningMcGonigle singled to right, Rogers scored.0–3
  4. 5th InningTorkelson homered to left center (388 feet), Greene scored.0–2
  5. 7th InningMcGonigle singled to right, Lee scored, McGonigle to second, Rogers to third.1–5
  6. 7th InningVierling doubled to right, McGonigle scored and Rogers scored.1–7

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