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InTheRafters.com

BAL @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Shane Baz vs Cam SchlittlerMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles 1 · New York Yankees 12

Final
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Yankees has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 83%. Actual: New York Yankees by 11.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJudge homered to right center (416 feet), Grisham scored.1st Inning0–2
  2. ScoreDomínguez scored on Baz wild pitch, Chisholm Jr. to third on wild pitch by Baz.6th Inning1–4
  3. ScoreGrisham walked, Chisholm Jr. scored, Caballero to second, Wells to third.8th Inning1–7
  4. ScoreDomínguez scored on Baz wild pitch, Chisholm Jr. to third on wild pitch by Baz.6th Inning1–4
  5. ScoreCowser walked, Beavers scored, Taveras to second, Alonso to third.6th Inning1–3
  6. 🏃 DoubleCaballero doubled to left, Wells scored, McMahon to third.6th Inning1–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles0000010001101
New York Yankees20100306—12100

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson SS·1-5501000112.208.272.451
Adley Rutschman C·1-5501000122.289.333.526
Dylan Beavers RF·1-4411000216.218.296.322
Pete Alonso 1B·1-4401000111.215.320.415
Samuel Basallo C·0-4400000114.234.308.426
Leody Taveras CF·1-3301001117.280.393.440
Colton Cowser RF·1-2201102019.194.301.226
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·1-4401000111.259.276.446
Blaze Alexander 3B·3-4403000014.221.277.247

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shane Baz SP·5.256554196-544.9996
Yennier Cano RP0.21000009-71.509
Keegan Akin RP0.20000007-617.187
Lou Trivino RP0.246630031-1581.0031
Weston Wilson 3B0.10000002-127.002

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·2-3332102020.176.316.380
Aaron Judge RF·2-4422411018.272.409.648
Max Schuemann 3B0-000000000.000.500.000
Cody Bellinger LF·1-4411300011.274.367.492
Jasson Dominguez LF·1-4411101015.273.333.500
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-4421001121.213.302.328
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·1-4401000114.179.289.359
Austin Wells C·0-2220002118.198.340.321
Ryan McMahon 3B·1-4401100113.202.287.298
Jose Caballero SS·1-3311101015.261.313.412

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cam Schlittler SP·5.271134095-591.5295
Jake Bird RP0.10000104-35.564
Tim Hill RP1.010002012-111.2912
Camilo Doval RP1.01000108-86.238
Paul Blackburn RP1.010000017-113.2117

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningWells walked.
  2. 3rd InningBeavers struck out swinging.
  3. 6th InningPitch 5 : Ball 4
  4. 3rd InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningJudge homered to right center (416 feet), Grisham scored.0–2
  2. 6th InningDomínguez scored on Baz wild pitch, Chisholm Jr. to third on wild pitch by Baz.1–4
  3. 8th InningGrisham walked, Chisholm Jr. scored, Caballero to second, Wells to third.1–7
  4. 6th InningDomínguez scored on Baz wild pitch, Chisholm Jr. to third on wild pitch by Baz.1–4
  5. 6th InningCowser walked, Beavers scored, Taveras to second, Alonso to third.1–3
  6. 6th InningCaballero doubled to left, Wells scored, McMahon to third.1–6
  7. 6th InningMcMahon singled to center, Chisholm Jr. scored, Wells to second.1–5
  8. 8th InningJudge singled to left, Caballero scored and Wells scored, Grisham to second.1–9
  9. 8th InningDomínguez singled to center, Bellinger scored.1–12
  10. 8th InningBellinger tripled to right, Grisham scored and Judge scored.1–11
  11. 3rd InningBellinger hit sacrifice fly to left, Grisham scored, Judge to second.0–3

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