SD @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM PT53°F · 8 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Randy Vasquez vs Trevor McDonaldESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres 2 · San Francisco Giants 3
Final
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on San Francisco Giants: San Diego Padres’s scoring margin profile and San Diego Padres’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 89%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 1.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 89%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreLaureano homered to center (447 feet).2–3
- ScoreSchmitt homered to left (396 feet).1–1
- ScoreDevers hit sacrifice fly to right, Arraez scored.1–3
- ScoreDevers singled to center, Arraez scored, Ramos to third.1–2
- ScoreMerrill homered to center (436 feet).1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| San Francisco Giants | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 6 | 0 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .238 | .301 | .426 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .252 | .324 | .301 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .220 | .283 | .362 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .221 | .328 | .389 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .262 | .343 | .402 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .215 | .263 | .441 |
| Miguel Andujar 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .305 | .337 | .476 |
| Freddy Fermin C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .161 | .279 | .232 |
| Jake Cronenworth 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .144 | .272 | .196 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Vasquez SP· | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 88-58 | 3.20 | 88 |
| Kyle Hart RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-3 | 5.40 | 5 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-9 | 1.62 | 16 |
| Wandy Peralta RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 3.38 | 13 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .272 | .321 | .400 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | .308 | .359 | .542 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .316 | .340 | .398 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .270 | .306 | .421 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .218 | .264 | .308 |
| Willy Adames SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .197 | .236 | .343 |
| Bryce Eldridge 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | .000 | .333 | .000 |
| Jesus Rodriguez C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Patrick Bailey C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .152 | .221 | .190 |
| Drew Gilbert CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .255 | .296 | .392 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor McDonald SP· | 7.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 81-60 | 1.29 | 81 |
| Keaton Winn RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-5 | 2.45 | 8 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18-13 | 1.13 | 18 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningSchmitt walked.
- 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
- 6th InningEldridge struck out swinging.
- 3rd InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
- 3rd InningCronenworth hit by pitch.
- 2nd InningGilbert grounded out to second.
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningLaureano homered to center (447 feet).2–3
- 1st InningSchmitt homered to left (396 feet).1–1
- 6th InningDevers hit sacrifice fly to right, Arraez scored.1–3
- 1st InningDevers singled to center, Arraez scored, Ramos to third.1–2
- 1st InningMerrill homered to center (436 feet).1–0