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InTheRafters.com

ATL @ SEA

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Bryce Elder vs George KirbyMLB.TVBravesVisionMariners.TVGray Media
Result readAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 3 · Seattle Mariners 2

Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Atlanta Braves because Atlanta Braves owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Atlanta Braves has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 90%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Atlanta Braves

Seattle Mariners

Injury Report

Seattle Mariners

Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Atlanta Braves
MY M. Yastrzemski LF · #18 MI M. Harris II CF · #23 RA R. Acuna Jr. RF · #13 AR Austin Riley 3B · #27 MD Mauricio Dubon SS · #14 OA Ozzie Albies 2B · #1 MO Matt Olson 1B · #28 BE Bryce Elder P · #55 DB Drake Baldwin C · #30
Seattle Mariners
RA R. Arozarena LF · #56 JR J. Rodriguez CF · #44 LR Luke Raley RF · #20 LR Leo Rivas 3B · #76 CR J.P. Crawford SS · #3 CY Cole Young 2B · #2 JN Josh Naylor 1B · #12 BW Bryan Woo P · #22 CR Cal Raleigh C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreOlson homered to center (412 feet).9th Inning3–2
  2. ScoreCrawford homered to right (395 feet), Garver scored.3rd Inning0–2
  3. 🏃 DoubleDubón doubled to right, Albies scored and Olson scored.4th Inning2–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves000200001360
Seattle Mariners002000000230

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Drake Baldwin C·0-4400000119.305.382.517
Ozzie Albies 2B·1-4411000115.329.377.552
Matt Olson 1B·2-3322111116.308.392.685
Michael Harris II CF·0-4400000011.306.339.532
Eli White CF0-000000000.222.246.389
Mauricio Dubon SS·2-3302201011.268.331.417
Austin Riley 3B·0-4400000217.207.282.357
Dominic Smith 1B·0-4400000211.324.355.521
Mike Yastrzemski LF·1-3301000110.206.267.262
Jorge Mateo SS·0-3300000111.271.300.438

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Bryce Elder SP·6.022239193-622.0293
Dylan Lee RP1.000003016-101.0216
Robert Suarez RP1.000002016-90.5716
Raisel Iglesias RP1.010002019-130.0019

Seattle Mariners

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
J.P. Crawford SS·1-4411210214.210.363.360
Cal Raleigh C·0-4400000318.180.265.368
Julio Rodriguez CF·0-4400000215.260.329.390
Josh Naylor 1B·2-3302001113.233.299.346
Randy Arozarena LF·0-4400000222.265.357.417
Luke Raley RF·0-110000019.250.310.511
Rob Refsnyder RF0-110000013.140.208.279
Dominic Canzone RF0-110000003.267.333.480
Cole Young 2B·0-2200001216.262.331.377
Mitch Garver C·0-2210001217.178.339.200
Leo Rivas 3B·0-3300000014.136.267.170

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
George Kirby SP·7.052215088-592.9488
Jose Ferrer RP1.000002010-82.0010
Andres Munoz RP1.011112123-126.0023

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningArozarena struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 9th InningRodríguez struck out swinging.
  5. 6th InningArozarena grounded out to first.
  6. 4th InningRaley struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningOlson homered to center (412 feet).3–2
  2. 3rd InningCrawford homered to right (395 feet), Garver scored.0–2
  3. 4th InningDubón doubled to right, Albies scored and Olson scored.2–2

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