BOS @ DET
Comerica Park · Detroit, Michigan
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET50°F · 2 mph wind · overcast⚾ Sonny Gray vs Jack FlahertyMLB.TVTigers.TV
Result readBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox 4 · Detroit Tigers 0
Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Boston Red Sox: Detroit Tigers’s scoring margin profile and Boston Red Sox’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Detroit Tigers at 61%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 4.
Pre-game pick: Detroit Tigers at 61%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Detroit Tigers
- Framber Valdez SP · #59
- Jack Flaherty SP · #9
- Riley Greene LF · #31
- Kevin McGonigle SS · #7
Injury Report
Detroit Tigers
Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL
Boston Red Sox
Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreContreras hit sacrifice fly to center, Narváez scored, Durbin to third.2–0
- 🏃 DoubleDurbin doubled to left, Mayer scored, Narváez to third.1–0
- ScoreYoshida scored on error and Rafaela scored on error, Narváez safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Keith, Narváez safe at second on error.4–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Boston Red Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | .190 | .255 | .325 |
| Willson Contreras 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | .264 | .376 | .481 |
| Wilyer Abreu RF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | .299 | .381 | .467 |
| Trevor Story SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .203 | .242 | .287 |
| Masataka Yoshida LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .310 | .420 | .379 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | .271 | .344 | .390 |
| Marcelo Mayer 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .258 | .327 | .355 |
| Carlos Narvaez C· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .213 | .272 | .333 |
| Caleb Durbin 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .178 | .260 | .263 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 70-44 | 3.54 | 70 |
| Tyler Samaniego RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 31-19 | 0.00 | 31 |
| Zack Kelly RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25-11 | 3.29 | 25 |
| Greg Weissert RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 4.91 | 11 |
Detroit Tigers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .299 | .392 | .453 |
| Matt Vierling CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .225 | .289 | .388 |
| Colt Keith 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .327 | .369 | .394 |
| Riley Greene LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .296 | .395 | .459 |
| Dillon Dingler C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .248 | .315 | .469 |
| Kerry Carpenter RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .210 | .296 | .450 |
| Jahmai Jones RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .209 | .244 | .395 |
| Zach McKinstry 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .184 | .259 | .286 |
| Spencer Torkelson 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .207 | .333 | .405 |
| Jace Jung 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .167 | .375 | .167 |
| Wenceel Perez RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .154 | .214 | .262 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty SP· | 5.0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 96-67 | 5.56 | 96 |
| Drew Anderson RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 39-25 | 4.79 | 39 |
| Brant Hurter RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-7 | 1.45 | 12 |
| Kyle Finnegan RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14-5 | 0.51 | 14 |
| Burch Smith RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17-12 | 1.59 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningDuran walked.
- 7th InningContreras walked.
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
- 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningMcKinstry walked.
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball 3
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningContreras hit sacrifice fly to center, Narváez scored, Durbin to third.2–0
- 3rd InningDurbin doubled to left, Mayer scored, Narváez to third.1–0
- 4th InningYoshida scored on error and Rafaela scored on error, Narváez safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Keith, Narváez safe at second on error.4–0