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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Joey Cantillo vs Cole RagansMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVRoyals.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians 3 · Kansas City Royals 1

Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Cleveland Guardians: Cleveland Guardians’s scoring margin profile and Kansas City Royals’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 59%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreDeLauter singled to left, Hedges scored and Halpin scored.5th Inning2–1
  2. ScoreFry grounded out to third, Ramírez scored.8th Inning3–1
  3. ScorePerez hit sacrifice fly to right, Witt Jr. scored.3rd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cleveland Guardians000020010360
Kansas City Royals001000000141

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Angel Martinez LF·1-4401001220.270.311.468
Chase DeLauter RF·2-4402200110.308.391.550
Jose Ramirez 3B·0-2210002022.209.333.396
Rhys Hoskins 1B·0-3300000218.200.343.376
Kyle Manzardo 1B0-110000005.200.277.280
David Fry RF·0-4400100119.239.375.457
Daniel Schneemann CF·1-3301001121.284.352.495
Brayan Rocchio SS·0-3300001023.254.333.364
Austin Hedges C·1-3311001023.311.360.467
Petey Halpin CF·1-4411000118.111.111.111

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joey Cantillo SP·5.031131070-433.4370
Matt Festa RP1.000002013-114.5013
Erik Sabrowski RP1.100012020-132.2520
Hunter Gaddis RP0.20001009-48.539
Cade Smith RP1.010003016-123.3116

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·2-3302001014.265.333.412
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·0-4410000116.279.349.422
Lane Thomas CF·0-2200001014.227.378.288
Jac Caglianone RF0-110000002.245.328.425
Salvador Perez C·0-2200101216.206.245.348
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·1-4401000116.194.280.349
Starling Marte RF·1-220100108.314.342.400
Kyle Isbel CF0-110000015.279.347.430
Isaac Collins LF·0-4400000213.245.353.378
Nick Loftin 3B·0-2200001113.243.364.324
Elias Diaz C·0-3300000011.286.333.643

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cole Ragans SP·3.010024058-344.8458
Luinder Avila RP2.022222049-297.3649
John Schreiber RP1.220000030-173.8630
Alex Lange RP1.101110023-136.1923
Eric Cerantola RP1.010012019-100.0019

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningRamírez walked.
  2. 5th InningHoskins struck out looking.
  3. 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  4. 5th InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Looking
  5. 8th InningManzardo flied out to right, Ramírez to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningDeLauter singled to left, Hedges scored and Halpin scored.2–1
  2. 8th InningFry grounded out to third, Ramírez scored.3–1
  3. 3rd InningPerez hit sacrifice fly to right, Witt Jr. scored.0–1

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