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In The Rafters

MIL @ STL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:15 PM CT60°F · 7 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Brandon Sproat vs Andre PallanteMLB.TVBrewers.TVCardinals.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 6 · St. Louis Cardinals 2

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Milwaukee Brewers is the model’s call — Milwaukee Brewers on the margin numbers, Milwaukee Brewers on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 73%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals

Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24
St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreVaughn homered to left center (403 feet), Contreras scored and Bauers scored.1st Inning4–0
  2. ScoreOrtiz scored on Pallante wild pitch, Frelick to second on wild pitch by Pallante.5th Inning5–0
  3. ScoreOrtiz scored on Pallante wild pitch, Frelick to second on wild pitch by Pallante.5th Inning5–0
  4. ScoreGorman scored on error, Fermín safe at first on fielding error by shortstop Ortiz.9th Inning6–2
  5. ScoreBauers singled to left, Turang scored, Contreras to second.1st Inning1–0
  6. ScoreBurleson singled to right, Scott II scored.8th Inning5–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers4000100016111
St. Louis Cardinals000000011240

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Sal Frelick RF·2-5512000013.220.315.321
Jackson Chourio CF·2-5502100120.667.7001.000
Brice Turang 2B·1-3311002123.305.439.517
William Contreras C·0-4410000117.286.358.406
Jake Bauers 1B·2-3312101027.259.338.440
Andrew Vaughn 1B·2-4412310019.250.308.500
Tyler Black 3B·0-3300000013.360.385.520
Brandon Lockridge LF0-110000004.277.355.325
David Hamilton 3B·1-4401000112.236.333.258
Joey Ortiz SS·1-4411000216.184.259.184

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Sproat SP·4.010035076-425.8776
DL Hall RP1.000001011-81.5911
Aaron Ashby RP2.000011028-182.3528
Trevor Megill RP1.021102021-146.2321
Abner Uribe RP1.011100016-114.0516

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·0-4400000116.239.352.428
Ivan Herrera C·1-4401000215.248.406.419
Alec Burleson 1B·1-4401100121.268.346.442
Jordan Walker RF·0-2200002016.303.380.576
Nolan Gorman 3B·1-3311001216.227.291.387
Masyn Winn SS·0-4400000123.265.346.359
Nathan Church LF·0-000000001.248.284.436
Jose Fermin LF0-2200101016.257.325.400
Pedro Pages C·0-3300000113.228.279.380
Cesar Prieto 2B0-110000003.000.000.000
Victor Scott II CF·1-3311000112.189.253.244

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andre Pallante SP·6.0855231104-744.34104
Jared Shuster RP2.010001033-202.3533
Matt Svanson RP1.021112027-189.6427

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningHerrera struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningBauers popped out to third.
  3. 5th InningTurang walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningVaughn homered to left center (403 feet), Contreras scored and Bauers scored.4–0
  2. 5th InningOrtiz scored on Pallante wild pitch, Frelick to second on wild pitch by Pallante.5–0
  3. 5th InningOrtiz scored on Pallante wild pitch, Frelick to second on wild pitch by Pallante.5–0
  4. 9th InningGorman scored on error, Fermín safe at first on fielding error by shortstop Ortiz.6–2
  5. 1st InningBauers singled to left, Turang scored, Contreras to second.1–0
  6. 8th InningBurleson singled to right, Scott II scored.5–1
  7. 9th InningChourio doubled to right, Frelick scored.6–1

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