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InTheRafters.com

BAL @ MIA

Joshua Silvia
15–22 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM ET⚾ Cade Povich vs Max MeyerMLB.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins

Baltimore Orioles 3 · Miami Marlins 4

Final
Baltimore Orioles19-24-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.0) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 40%
Miami Marlins19-23-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Miami Marlins: Miami Marlins’s scoring margin profile and Miami Marlins’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 70%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

Miami Marlins

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayDylan BeaversDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
Miami Marlins
KS Kyle Stowers LF · #28 JM Jakob Marsee CF · #87 OC Owen Caissie RF · #17 GP Graham Pauley 3B · #21 OL Otto Lopez SS · #6 XE Xavier Edwards 2B · #9 CN Connor Norby 1B · #1 EP Eury Perez P · #39 LH Liam Hicks C · #34

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Miami Marlins beat Baltimore Orioles 4-3.
  • Top line: Max Meyer (Miami Marlins) — 5.0 IP, 5 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Liam Hicks (Miami Marlins) — 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Connor Norby (Miami Marlins) — 1-2, 1 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB.

Highlights

  1. ScoreHenderson singled to center, Mayo scored, Henderson to second, Jackson to third.3rd Inning1–2
  2. ScoreAlonso singled to center, Ward scored, Beavers to second.8th Inning3–3
  3. 💣 Home RunMack scored on error, Sanoja safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Mayo.9th Inning3–4
  4. ScoreO'Neill singled to right, Basallo scored.4th Inning2–3
  5. ScoreHicks homered to right center (386 feet), Norby scored.1st Inning0–2
  6. ScoreNorby singled to left, Sanoja scored, Lopez to second.3rd Inning1–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles001100010391
Miami Marlins201000001460

Baltimore Orioles

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson SS·1-5501100119.201.260.421
Taylor Ward LF·0-3310001218.278.429.398
Dylan Beavers RF·2-3302001019.232.321.347
Pete Alonso 1B·1-4401100113.225.329.444
Samuel Basallo C·1-4411000015.257.328.467
Tyler O'Neill RF·1-4401100117.200.333.260
Colton Cowser RF·0-4400000221.169.268.197
Coby Mayo 3B·2-4412000017.167.229.292
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·1-3301001114.252.274.429
Blaze Alexander 3B0-000000000.232.284.280

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cade Povich SP·3.033321143-275.1243
Yennier Cano RP2.000000023-161.2923
Dietrich Enns RP2.000011019-142.2519
Keegan Akin RP1.020001024-1711.1224
Andrew Kittredge RP0.211001011-913.5011

Miami Marlins

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Otto Lopez SS·2-4402000014.340.372.510
Connor Norby 1B·1-221110107.236.346.382
Xavier Edwards 2B1-110100001.328.418.453
Liam Hicks C·1-4411210111.319.372.584
Christopher Morel LF·0-4400000214.190.292.190
Heriberto Hernandez LF·0-4400000014.149.269.179
Esteury Ruiz CF·0-3300000016.222.222.611
Kyle Stowers LF0-110000002.220.313.271
Jakob Marsee CF·0-3300000112.176.293.254
Leo Jimenez 2B·0-2200001016.167.375.167
Joe Mack C1-111100002.300.300.400
Javier Sanoja 3B·0-3310001011.289.357.342

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Meyer SP·5.062225094-552.7994
Andrew Nardi RP1.000001012-86.4312
Michael Petersen RP1.000001010-73.1410
Josh Ekness RP1.021110024-113.0024
Calvin Faucher RP1.010001013-83.8613

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningRuiz flied out to right.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  3. 8th InningBeavers singled to right, Ward to second.
  4. 8th InningWard walked.
  5. 7th InningJiménez walked.
  6. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningHenderson singled to center, Mayo scored, Henderson to second, Jackson to third.1–2
  2. 8th InningAlonso singled to center, Ward scored, Beavers to second.3–3
  3. 9th InningMack scored on error, Sanoja safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Mayo.3–4
  4. 4th InningO'Neill singled to right, Basallo scored.2–3
  5. 1st InningHicks homered to right center (386 feet), Norby scored.0–2
  6. 3rd InningNorby singled to left, Sanoja scored, Lopez to second.1–3

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