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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM MT62°F · 3 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Christian Scott vs Jose QuintanaMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies

New York Mets 2 · Colorado Rockies 6

Final
New York Mets16-25-2-0.5 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 55%
Colorado Rockies16-26-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Colorado Rockies is the model’s call — New York Mets on the margin numbers, New York Mets on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 92%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Jared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-ILBrayan CastilloDay-To-Day

New York Mets

Francisco AlvarezDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayJoe JacquesDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Colorado Rockies beat New York Mets 6-2.
  • Top line: Jake McCarthy (Colorado Rockies) — 2-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Christian Scott (New York Mets) — 4.2 IP, 6 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Jose Quintana (Colorado Rockies) — 5.2 IP, 2 K, 2 ER.

Highlights

  1. ScoreIbáñez hit sacrifice fly to left, Slater scored.2nd Inning1–0
  2. ScoreCastro singled to right, Freeman scored, Johnston to third.4th Inning2–1
  3. 🏃 DoubleMcCarthy doubled to center, Rumfield scored, Castro to third.6th Inning2–2
  4. ScoreJake McCarthy hits a grand slam (448 feet) to right field. Brenton Doyle scores. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Willi Castro scores.8th Inning2–6
  5. 💣 Home RunTaylor singled to left, Semien scored, Taylor thrown out at second.2nd Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Mets020000000260
Colorado Rockies00010104670

New York Mets

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Juan Soto LF·1-4401000013.296.389.519
Bo Bichette 3B·0-3300001013.237.276.309
Mark Vientos 1B·0-440000009.229.279.396
Austin Slater LF·2-3312000112.417.417.500
Brett Baty RF0-110000003.212.282.308
Marcus Semien 2B·0-2210002016.227.285.318
Andy Ibanez 2B·0-110010005.000.000.000
Carson Benge LF1-220100015.208.276.330
Francisco Alvarez C·1-3301001221.243.325.398
Tyrone Taylor RF·1-220110018.200.224.308
MJ Melendez LF0-110000013.325.400.600
Vidal Brujan 3B·0-3300001014.000.250.000

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Christian Scott SP·4.231126082-533.2782
Huascar Brazoban RP1.011121025-121.5325
Austin Warren RP1.100021021-121.1721
Craig Kimbrel RP1.034412129-197.5629

Colorado Rockies

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Edouard Julien 2B·0-4400001119.268.366.381
Mickey Moniak LF·0-3300001116.318.367.700
Tyler Freeman RF·1-4411000011.290.380.362
TJ Rumfield 1B·1-3311001012.275.340.442
Brenton Doyle CF0-001000000.209.280.275
Troy Johnston RF·1-3301001115.325.389.456
Ezequiel Tovar SS0-001000000.186.237.271
Willi Castro 2B·1-2211102020.250.321.333
Jake McCarthy LF·2-4412510219.275.346.507
Kyle Karros 3B·1-3301001224.221.346.288
Brett Sullivan C·0-4400000321.250.288.357

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jose Quintana SP·5.252222074-433.9074
Juan Mejia RP1.000022021-114.9121
Brennan Bernardino RP0.10000004-31.844
Antonio Senzatela RP2.010012023-131.1123

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningSemien walked.
  2. 9th InningPitch 5 : Ball 4
  3. 9th InningPitch 4 : Ball 3
  4. 8th InningCastro walked, Johnston to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningIbáñez hit sacrifice fly to left, Slater scored.1–0
  2. 4th InningCastro singled to right, Freeman scored, Johnston to third.2–1
  3. 6th InningMcCarthy doubled to center, Rumfield scored, Castro to third.2–2
  4. 8th InningJake McCarthy hits a grand slam (448 feet) to right field. Brenton Doyle scores. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Willi Castro scores.2–6
  5. 2nd InningTaylor singled to left, Semien scored, Taylor thrown out at second.2–0

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