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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:00 PM ET⚾ Griffin Jax vs Jake Bennett
Result readTampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays 8 · Boston Red Sox 4

Final
Tampa Bay Rays28-13-1+0.6 net/g (SOS-adj +0.7) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Boston Red Sox17-24-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.4) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 45%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Tampa Bay Rays is the model’s call — Tampa Bay Rays on the margin numbers, Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 77%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox

Kutter Crawford15-Day-ILWillson ContrerasDay-To-DayDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

John RooneyDay-To-DayChandler SimpsonDay-To-DayTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-DayLogan DriscollDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Tampa Bay Rays beat Boston Red Sox 8-4.
  • Top line: Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) — 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Griffin Jax (Tampa Bay Rays) — 4.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Ben Williamson (Tampa Bay Rays) — 2-4, 1 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB.

Highlights

  1. ScoreWilliamson singled to right, DeLuca scored.2nd Inning1–0
  2. ScoreCaminero homered to center (449 feet), Palacios scored.9th Inning8–4
  3. ScoreRafaela reached on infield single to shortstop, Story scored, Yoshida to second.2nd Inning3–1
  4. ScoreDurbin singled to right, Mayer scored, Wong to second.2nd Inning3–3
  5. ScoreDíaz hit sacrifice fly to center, Fortes scored, Walls to second, Mullins to third.2nd Inning3–0
  6. 🏃 TripleSimpson tripled to right, Williamson scored.8th Inning6–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays0300020128131
Boston Red Sox030000010470

Tampa Bay Rays

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz DH·2-4402100115.323.401.481
Richie Palacios 2B0-001000000.192.348.269
Ryan Vilade RF·1-3301000013.277.333.383
Hunter Feduccia C0-110000004.270.386.297
Junior Caminero 3B·2-4422211017.259.350.496
Jonathan Aranda 1B·0-5500000127.263.365.459
Jonny DeLuca RF·2-4422001017.284.318.444
Ben Williamson 2B·2-4422101023.267.339.337
Nick Fortes C·1-221100004.272.309.359
Chandler Simpson LF2-220230005.313.340.361
Cedric Mullins CF·1-4401100010.143.198.232
Taylor Walls SS·0-3300001119.197.307.237

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Griffin Jax RP·4.043213059-395.0059
Hunter Bigge RP2.000001026-192.7726
Kevin Kelly RP1.010000012-93.2412
Garrett Cleavinger RP1.021101014-95.7914
Cole Sulser RP1.000001017-122.6117

Boston Red Sox

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jarren Duran LF·1-4411000116.192.255.331
Willson Contreras 1B·1-4401000112.263.373.474
Wilyer Abreu RF·1-3301100015.300.377.464
Trevor Story SS·1-4411000219.204.242.286
Masataka Yoshida DH·0-3310001014.295.411.361
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·1-4401100119.270.341.385
Marcelo Mayer 2B·0-4410000016.247.315.340
Connor Wong C·1-330110018.255.340.362
Caleb Durbin 3B·1-330110009.182.261.264

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Bennett SP·5.164421086-524.3586
Greg Weissert RP0.021110011-65.5211
Tyler Samaniego RP0.20000006-50.006
Ryan Watson RP3.053312151-366.4651

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningAbreu flied out to center.
  2. 2nd InningWalls walked.
  3. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 2nd InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  5. 1st InningVilade reached on infield single to shortstop.
  6. 9th InningMayer grounded out to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningWilliamson singled to right, DeLuca scored.1–0
  2. 9th InningCaminero homered to center (449 feet), Palacios scored.8–4
  3. 2nd InningRafaela reached on infield single to shortstop, Story scored, Yoshida to second.3–1
  4. 2nd InningDurbin singled to right, Mayer scored, Wong to second.3–3
  5. 2nd InningDíaz hit sacrifice fly to center, Fortes scored, Walls to second, Mullins to third.3–0
  6. 8th InningSimpson tripled to right, Williamson scored.6–3
  7. 6th InningSimpson singled to center, Caminero scored and DeLuca scored, Williamson to second.5–3
  8. 8th InningAbreu hit sacrifice fly to right, Duran scored.6–4
  9. 2nd InningWong grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Yoshida scored, Mayer to second, Mayer safe at third on throwing error by shortstop Walls.3–2
  10. 2nd InningMullins reached on bunt single to first, Williamson scored, Fortes to third.2–0

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