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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:00 PM ETโšพ Griffin Jax vs Jake Bennett
Result readTampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays 8 ยท Boston Red Sox 4

Final
Tampa Bay Rays28-13-1+0.6 net/g (SOS-adj +0.7) ยท expected win rate 56% ยท last 10: 85%
Boston Red Sox17-24-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.4) ยท expected win rate 46% ยท last 10: 45%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Tampa Bay Rays is the model’s call โ€” Tampa Bay Rays on the margin numbers, Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: โœ“ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 77%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox

Kutter Crawford15-Day-ILWillson ContrerasDay-To-DayDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

John RooneyDay-To-DayChandler SimpsonDay-To-DayTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-DayLogan DriscollDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1โ€“9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Tampa Bay Rays beat Boston Red Sox 8-4.
  • Top line: Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) โ€” 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Griffin Jax (Tampa Bay Rays) โ€” 4.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Ben Williamson (Tampa Bay Rays) โ€” 2-4, 1 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB.

Highlights

  1. ScoreWilliamson singled to right, DeLuca scored.2nd Inning1โ€“0
  2. ScoreCaminero homered to center (449 feet), Palacios scored.9th Inning8โ€“4
  3. ScoreRafaela reached on infield single to shortstop, Story scored, Yoshida to second.2nd Inning3โ€“1
  4. ScoreDurbin singled to right, Mayer scored, Wong to second.2nd Inning3โ€“3
  5. ScoreDรญaz hit sacrifice fly to center, Fortes scored, Walls to second, Mullins to third.2nd Inning3โ€“0
  6. ๐Ÿƒ TripleSimpson tripled to right, Williamson scored.8th Inning6โ€“3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays0300020128131
Boston Red Sox030000010470

Tampa Bay Rays

ยท Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz DHยท2-4402100115.323.401.481
Richie Palacios 2B0-001000000.192.348.269
Ryan Vilade RFยท1-3301000013.277.333.383
Hunter Feduccia C0-110000004.270.386.297
Junior Caminero 3Bยท2-4422211017.259.350.496
Jonathan Aranda 1Bยท0-5500000127.263.365.459
Jonny DeLuca RFยท2-4422001017.284.318.444
Ben Williamson 2Bยท2-4422101023.267.339.337
Nick Fortes Cยท1-221100004.272.309.359
Chandler Simpson LF2-220230005.313.340.361
Cedric Mullins CFยท1-4401100010.143.198.232
Taylor Walls SSยท0-3300001119.197.307.237

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Griffin Jax RPยท4.043213059-395.0059
Hunter Bigge RP2.000001026-192.7726
Kevin Kelly RP1.010000012-93.2412
Garrett Cleavinger RP1.021101014-95.7914
Cole Sulser RP1.000001017-122.6117

Boston Red Sox

ยท Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jarren Duran LFยท1-4411000116.192.255.331
Willson Contreras 1Bยท1-4401000112.263.373.474
Wilyer Abreu RFยท1-3301100015.300.377.464
Trevor Story SSยท1-4411000219.204.242.286
Masataka Yoshida DHยท0-3310001014.295.411.361
Ceddanne Rafaela CFยท1-4401100119.270.341.385
Marcelo Mayer 2Bยท0-4410000016.247.315.340
Connor Wong Cยท1-330110018.255.340.362
Caleb Durbin 3Bยท1-330110009.182.261.264

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Bennett SPยท5.164421086-524.3586
Greg Weissert RP0.021110011-65.5211
Tyler Samaniego RP0.20000006-50.006
Ryan Watson RP3.053312151-366.4651

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningAbreu flied out to center.
  2. 2nd InningWalls walked.
  3. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 2nd InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  5. 1st InningVilade reached on infield single to shortstop.
  6. 9th InningMayer grounded out to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningWilliamson singled to right, DeLuca scored.1โ€“0
  2. 9th InningCaminero homered to center (449 feet), Palacios scored.8โ€“4
  3. 2nd InningRafaela reached on infield single to shortstop, Story scored, Yoshida to second.3โ€“1
  4. 2nd InningDurbin singled to right, Mayer scored, Wong to second.3โ€“3
  5. 2nd InningDรญaz hit sacrifice fly to center, Fortes scored, Walls to second, Mullins to third.3โ€“0
  6. 8th InningSimpson tripled to right, Williamson scored.6โ€“3
  7. 6th InningSimpson singled to center, Caminero scored and DeLuca scored, Williamson to second.5โ€“3
  8. 8th InningAbreu hit sacrifice fly to right, Duran scored.6โ€“4
  9. 2nd InningWong grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Yoshida scored, Mayer to second, Mayer safe at third on throwing error by shortstop Walls.3โ€“2
  10. 2nd InningMullins reached on bunt single to first, Williamson scored, Fortes to third.2โ€“0

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