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InTheRafters.com

NYM @ ARI

Joshua Silvia
14–22 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Nolan McLean vs Ryne NelsonMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readNew York Mets

New York Mets 3 · Arizona Diamondbacks 1

Final
New York Mets16-25-2-0.5 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 55%
Arizona Diamondbacks20-21-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

New York Mets is the model’s call — New York Mets on the margin numbers, New York Mets on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 57%. Actual: New York Mets by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

Arizona Diamondbacks

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL

New York Mets

Francisco AlvarezDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayJoe JacquesDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4
Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: New York Mets beat Arizona Diamondbacks 3-1.
  • Top line: Ryne Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks) — 6.2 IP, 7 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Nolan McLean (New York Mets) — 6.0 IP, 6 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Mark Vientos (New York Mets) — 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.

Highlights

  1. ScoreBenge hit a ground rule double, Bruján scored.10th Inning3–1
  2. ScoreVientos homered to left center (401 feet).2nd Inning1–0
  3. 🏃 DoubleVientos doubled to left, Baty scored.10th Inning2–1
  4. ScoreArenado homered to left (405 feet).2nd Inning1–1

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
New York Mets0100000002350
Arizona Diamondbacks0100000000150

New York Mets

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Juan Soto LF·0-4400000211.282.374.494
Bo Bichette 3B·0-440000006.231.269.301
Brett Baty RF·0-4410000118.204.273.296
Mark Vientos 1B·2-4412210017.240.287.440
Vidal Brujan 3B0-001000000.000.250.000
Carson Benge LF·1-3301101120.211.283.339
Marcus Semien 2B·1-440100017.228.284.316
MJ Melendez LF·0-4400000219.295.367.545
Tyrone Taylor RF0-000000000.200.224.308
Francisco Alvarez C·1-4401000115.243.322.393
Luis Torrens C·0-4400000219.163.200.233

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nolan McLean SP·6.0311161100-632.78100
Luke Weaver RP1.010021024-144.4124
Brooks Raley RP1.010000011-81.2011
Devin Williams RP1.00000108-55.688
Tobias Myers RP1.000002010-93.4210

Arizona Diamondbacks

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Geraldo Perdomo SS·0-5500000115.224.343.371
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·1-5501000217.353.374.597
Corbin Carroll RF·1-3301000015.266.363.516
Adrian Del Castillo DH·0-3300000113.211.238.368
Ryan Waldschmidt CF1-1101000021.0001.0001.000
Nolan Arenado 3B·1-4411110116.271.320.449
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF·0-4400000015.235.316.275
Gabriel Moreno C·0-2200002022.237.303.390
Jose Fernandez 1B·1-4401000317.290.330.410
Jorge Barrosa LF·0-3300001221.187.256.373

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryne Nelson SP·6.221117195-665.6895
Juan Morillo RP1.100002014-122.0014
Brandyn Garcia RP1.00000006-50.006
Kevin Ginkel RP0.132101013-103.9413
Jonathan Loaisiga RP0.20000004-33.314

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 10th InningJorge Barrosa challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jorge Barrosa called out on strikes.
  2. 2nd InningMoreno grounded out to third.
  3. 1st InningBaty struck out looking.
  4. 10th InningPitch 4 : Strike 3 Looking
  5. 7th InningBenge walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 10th InningBenge hit a ground rule double, Bruján scored.3–1
  2. 2nd InningVientos homered to left center (401 feet).1–0
  3. 10th InningVientos doubled to left, Baty scored.2–1
  4. 2nd InningArenado homered to left (405 feet).1–1

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