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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Max Fried vs Jacob MisiorowskiMLB.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

New York Yankees 0 · Milwaukee Brewers 6

Final
New York Yankees27-16+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 50%
Milwaukee Brewers23-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 65% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Milwaukee Brewers gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with Milwaukee Brewers’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 63%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Yankees

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-ILJared Koenig15-Day-ILAkil Baddoo60-Day-IL

New York Yankees

Ben HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILJose Caballero10-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Milwaukee Brewers beat New York Yankees 6-0.
  • Top line: Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) — 6.0 IP, 11 K.
  • Support line: Shane Drohan (Milwaukee Brewers) — 3.0 IP, 3 K.
  • Support line: Max Fried (New York Yankees) — 6.0 IP, 5 K, 5 ER.

Highlights

  1. ScoreOrtiz grounded into fielder's choice to third, Rengifo scored, Frelick out at second, Lockridge to third.2nd Inning0–3
  2. ScoreChourio singled to center, Lockridge scored, Ortiz to second.2nd Inning0–4
  3. ScoreLockridge singled to center, Vaughn scored.3rd Inning0–5
  4. ScoreFrelick singled to center, Vaughn scored, Lockridge to second, Rengifo to third.2nd Inning0–2
  5. ScoreLockridge singled to right, Sánchez scored, Rengifo to second, Vaughn to third.2nd Inning0–1
  6. ScoreContreras singled to center, Ortiz scored.7th Inning0–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Yankees000000000030
Milwaukee Brewers04100010680

New York Yankees

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-3300001120.177.307.363
Ben Rice 1B·0-4400000218.330.442.732
Aaron Judge RF·1-4401000213.270.398.631
Cody Bellinger LF·0-4400000115.290.384.514
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·0-4400000217.203.284.326
Spencer Jones CF·0-2200001217.000.333.000
Jose Caballero SS·2-3302000112.264.317.403
Austin Wells C·0-2200000210.191.330.303
Paul Goldschmidt 1B0-110000006.200.310.440
J.C. Escarra C0-000000000.211.250.342
Ryan McMahon 3B·0-220000015.219.306.344
Amed Rosario 3B0-110000002.262.306.492

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Fried SP·6.065535094-582.9194
Kervin Castro RP2.021102029-194.5029

Milwaukee Brewers

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jackson Chourio CF·1-4401100215.538.571.769
Brice Turang 2B·0-4400000116.295.428.500
William Contreras C·1-4401100114.285.355.401
Gary Sanchez DH·1-4411000115.213.366.467
Andrew Vaughn 1B·1-3321001011.267.353.533
Luis Rengifo 3B·0-2210002018.184.261.262
Brandon Lockridge LF·2-221220004.294.368.341
Garrett Mitchell CF0-220000016.214.358.327
Sal Frelick RF·1-3301100111.223.315.321
Joey Ortiz SS·1-3311100013.190.261.203

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob Misiorowski SP·6.0200211095-662.4595
Shane Drohan RP3.010003040-253.3840

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningWells struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningRengifo popped out to second.
  3. 6th InningRice flied out to center.
  4. 3rd InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningOrtiz grounded into fielder's choice to third, Rengifo scored, Frelick out at second, Lockridge to third.0–3
  2. 2nd InningChourio singled to center, Lockridge scored, Ortiz to second.0–4
  3. 3rd InningLockridge singled to center, Vaughn scored.0–5
  4. 2nd InningFrelick singled to center, Vaughn scored, Lockridge to second, Rengifo to third.0–2
  5. 2nd InningLockridge singled to right, Sánchez scored, Rengifo to second, Vaughn to third.0–1
  6. 7th InningContreras singled to center, Ortiz scored.0–6

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