PIT @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Pittsburgh Pirates 5.4 · San Francisco Giants 3.1
The model leans Pittsburgh Pirates because Pittsburgh Pirates owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Pittsburgh Pirates has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Pittsburgh Pirates is 40% over their recent sample; San Francisco Giants is 15%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Pittsburgh Pirates projects 56% from points-for vs points-allowed; San Francisco Giants sits at 36%.
- Pitching matchup. Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates) vs. Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants).
Players to Watch
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.
Recent Form
San Francisco Giants
- L@ TB5-1
- L@ TB2-1 F/10
- Wvs SD3-2
- Lvs SD10-5
- Lvs SD5-1
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Lvs STL10-5
- Wvs CIN9-1
- Wvs CIN17-7
- Wvs CIN1-0
- L@ ARI9-0