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In The Rafters

PIT @ SF

Joshua Silvia
17–26 minutes

Keep followingToday’s scores·MLB player values·Morning Line

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM PT66°F · 6 mph wind · clearProbables: Carmen Mlodzinski vs Robbie RayMLB.TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants

Pittsburgh Pirates 2 · San Francisco Giants 5

Final
Pittsburgh Pirates23-19+0.8 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.6) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 70%
San Francisco Giants18-24-1-0.9 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.8) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 50%
Home VenueOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

The projection leans San Francisco Giants because Pittsburgh Pirates owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Pittsburgh Pirates has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 95%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 3.

Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Key Players to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

San Francisco Giants

Injury Report

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-ILReiver Sanmartin60-Day-IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILJoey Bart10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32
San Francisco Giants
HR Heliot Ramos LF · #17 DG Drew Gilbert CF · #0 JL Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51 MC Matt Chapman 3B · #26 WA Willy Adames SS · #2 LA Luis Arraez 2B · #1 RD Rafael Devers 1B · #16 LW Logan Webb P · #62 PB Patrick Bailey C · #14

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: San Francisco Giants beat Pittsburgh Pirates 5-2.
  • Top line: Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants) — 6.0 IP, 7 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Marcell Ozuna (Pittsburgh Pirates) — 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates) — 6.0 IP, 1 K, 2 ER.

Highlights

  1. ScoreHorwitz singled to right, Cruz scored, Griffin to third.9th Inning2–5
  2. ScoreGilbert singled to right, Adames scored, Ramos to third.7th Inning1–3
  3. ScoreDevers homered to center (399 feet).2nd Inning1–1
  4. ScoreOzuna homered to left (365 feet).2nd Inning1–0
  5. Home RunRamos singled to center, Devers scored, Chapman thrown out at third.4th Inning1–2
  6. ScoreArraez singled to right, Gilbert scored and Ramos scored, J. Rodríguez to second.7th Inning1–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Pittsburgh Pirates010000001250
San Francisco Giants01010030—5120

Pittsburgh Pirates

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jared TrioloValue card SS·0-4400000116.171.237.229
Nick GonzalesValue card 3B·0-1100003021.306.377.347
Bryan ReynoldsValue card LF·0-3300001011.248.395.401
Marcell OzunaValue card DH·2-3312111017.198.271.322
Oneil CruzValue card CF·1-3311001121.247.314.461
Konnor GriffinValue card SS·1-3301001114.259.326.388
Joey BartValue card C·0-3300000214.208.246.340
Spencer HorwitzValue card 1B1-110110005.252.368.388
Nick YorkeValue card 3B·0-220000018.214.300.300
Brandon LoweValue card 2B0-2200000010.262.363.563
Billy CookValue card RF·0-330000029.200.200.200
Ryan O'HearnValue card RF0-110000006.290.375.443

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Carmen MlodzinskiValue card SP·6.072201174-504.5074
Justin LawrenceValue card RP0.033300013-86.6013
Evan SiskValue card RP1.010001011-61.9311
Cam SandersValue card RP1.010003017-129.0017

San Francisco Giants

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jung Hoo LeeValue card RF·2-440200009.270.315.387
Luis ArraezValue card 2B·1-440120009.314.338.394
Casey SchmittValue card DH·1-4401000011.294.341.529
Rafael DeversValue card 1B·2-4422110218.229.271.354
Matt ChapmanValue card 3B·0-4400000117.227.301.305
Willy AdamesValue card SS·2-441200009.203.239.338
Heliot RamosValue card LF·2-4412100112.261.295.406
Drew GilbertValue card CF·1-4411100119.259.295.379
Jesus RodriguezValue card C·1-2201000011.455.500.727
Patrick BaileyValue card C0-000000000.146.213.183

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Robbie RayValue card SP·6.041147193-592.7693
Keaton WinnValue card RP1.000001013-92.7613
Matt GageValue card RP1.000010011-41.1711
Caleb KilianValue card RP1.011120035-201.5935

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Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningO'Hearn grounded out to third.
  2. 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningCruz walked.
  4. 3rd InningReynolds walked.
  5. 9th InningPitch 5 : Ball 2

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningHorwitz singled to right, Cruz scored, Griffin to third.2–5
  2. 7th InningGilbert singled to right, Adames scored, Ramos to third.1–3
  3. 2nd InningDevers homered to center (399 feet).1–1
  4. 2nd InningOzuna homered to left (365 feet).1–0
  5. 4th InningRamos singled to center, Devers scored, Chapman thrown out at third.1–2
  6. 7th InningArraez singled to right, Gilbert scored and Ramos scored, J. Rodríguez to second.1–5

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