STL @ SD
Petco Park · San Diego, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM PT60°F · 2 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Michael McGreevy vs Griffin CanningApple TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals 6 · San Diego Padres 0
Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
San Diego Padres24-17+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 50% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
St. Louis Cardinals gets the model’s nod thanks to St. Louis Cardinals’s margin advantage, with St. Louis Cardinals’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 50%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 6.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 50%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Top Performers
Final Notes
- Final frame: St. Louis Cardinals beat San Diego Padres 6-0.
- Top line: Michael McGreevy (St. Louis Cardinals) — 6.0 IP, 9 K.
- Support line: Ivan Herrera (St. Louis Cardinals) — 4-5, 1 R.
- Support line: Yuki Matsui (San Diego Padres) — 2.2 IP, 2 K.
Highlights
- ScoreGorman singled to right, Herrera scored, Walker to second, Burleson to third.5–0
- ScoreWinn hit sacrifice fly to left, Burleson scored.6–0
- ScoreWetherholt singled to right, Church scored, Winn scored, Scott II scored on fielding error by right fielder Tatis Jr. and Wetherholt scored.4–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
St. Louis Cardinals
· Starter
Batting#
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .234 | .351 | .414 |
| Ivan Herrera DH· | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .263 | .414 | .423 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .274 | .352 | .466 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | .302 | .384 | .576 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .222 | .289 | .373 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .266 | .340 | .371 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .248 | .282 | .422 |
| Cesar Prieto 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Victor Scott II CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .188 | .255 | .240 |
Pitching#
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy SP· | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 94-59 | 2.18 | 94 |
| Gordon Graceffo RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17-12 | 1.74 | 17 |
| Ryne Stanek RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-9 | 6.75 | 15 |
San Diego Padres
· Starter
Batting#
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .231 | .295 | .371 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .269 | .347 | .440 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .195 | .305 | .344 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .223 | .273 | .456 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .248 | .318 | .299 |
| Miguel Andujar DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .296 | .324 | .469 |
| Ramon Laureano LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .225 | .301 | .403 |
| Freddy Fermin C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .143 | .253 | .206 |
| Sung-Mun Song 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .222 | .222 | .333 |
Pitching#
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning SP· | 4.1 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 83-49 | 6.75 | 83 |
| Yuki Matsui RP | 2.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 38-27 | 0.00 | 38 |
| Wandy Peralta RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-7 | 3.00 | 7 |
| Ron Marinaccio RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-11 | 4.79 | 14 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningMerrill struck out swinging.
- 9th InningHerrera grounded out to first.
- 2nd InningGorman struck out swinging.
- 1st InningMerrill struck out swinging.
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningGorman singled to right, Herrera scored, Walker to second, Burleson to third.5–0
- 5th InningWinn hit sacrifice fly to left, Burleson scored.6–0
- 5th InningWetherholt singled to right, Church scored, Winn scored, Scott II scored on fielding error by right fielder Tatis Jr. and Wetherholt scored.4–0