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InTheRafters.com

TB @ BOS

Joshua Silvia
14–21 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM ET49°F · 6 mph wind · clear⚾ Jesse Scholtens vs Connelly EarlyMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readBoston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays 0 · Boston Red Sox 2

Final
Tampa Bay Rays28-13-1+0.6 net/g (SOS-adj +0.7) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Boston Red Sox17-24-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.4) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 45%
Venue EdgeFenway ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Boston Red Sox gets the model’s nod thanks to Tampa Bay Rays’s margin advantage, with Tampa Bay Rays’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 89%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox

Injury Report

Boston Red Sox

Kutter Crawford15-Day-ILWillson ContrerasDay-To-DayDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

John RooneyDay-To-DayChandler SimpsonDay-To-DayTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-DayLogan DriscollDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40
Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Boston Red Sox beat Tampa Bay Rays 2-0.
  • Top line: Connelly Early (Boston Red Sox) — 7.0 IP, 8 K.
  • Support line: Ceddanne Rafaela (Boston Red Sox) — 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Wilyer Abreu (Boston Red Sox) — 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.

Highlights

  1. ScoreAbreu homered to right center (427 feet).3rd Inning0–1
  2. ScoreRafaela homered to left (379 feet).4th Inning0–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays000000000041
Boston Red Sox00110000—250

Tampa Bay Rays

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz DH·0-3300000319.316.397.471
Ryan Vilade RF·0-4400000110.255.309.353
Junior Caminero 3B·0-4400000018.252.341.483
Jonathan Aranda 1B·1-3301001218.265.368.456
Jonny DeLuca RF·0-4400000218.271.303.424
Ben Williamson 2B·0-330000008.260.330.327
Chandler Simpson LF·0-330000017.306.333.354
Nick Fortes C·2-3302000111.284.320.368
Taylor Walls SS·1-3301000215.203.308.241

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jesse Scholtens RP·4.222244291-533.2991
Mason Englert RP3.130003046-315.6346

Boston Red Sox

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jarren Duran LF·1-4401000018.194.255.328
Willson Contreras 1B·0-2200002121.259.376.467
Wilyer Abreu RF·1-2211112016.303.387.486
Masataka Yoshida DH·0-440000008.277.390.338
Trevor Story SS·0-4400000321.199.236.278
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·3-4413110012.286.353.421
Marcelo Mayer 2B·0-4400000113.238.304.327
Carlos Narvaez C·0-2200000113.208.274.325
Caleb Durbin 3B·0-3300000115.177.255.258

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Connelly Early SP·7.040018096-703.1696
Garrett Whitlock RP1.000002010-103.5210
Aroldis Chapman RP1.000002018-130.7118

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningContreras walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningAbreu homered to right center (427 feet).0–1
  2. 4th InningRafaela homered to left (379 feet).0–2

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