TB @ BOS
Fenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Tampa Bay Rays 5.0 · Boston Red Sox 3.5
Tampa Bay Rays is the model’s call — Tampa Bay Rays on the margin numbers, Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Tampa Bay Rays is 80% over their recent sample; Boston Red Sox is 50%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Tampa Bay Rays projects 55% from points-for vs points-allowed; Boston Red Sox sits at 47%.
- Pitching matchup. Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays) vs. TBD (Boston Red Sox).
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.
Recent Form
Boston Red Sox
- W@ DET5-4
- W@ DET10-3
- W@ DET4-0
- Lvs TB8-4
- Wvs TB2-0
Tampa Bay Rays
- Wvs TOR5-1
- Wvs TOR4-3
- Wvs TOR3-0
- W@ BOS8-4
- L@ BOS2-0