MIA @ MIN
Target Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota
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Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Zebby Matthews7.0 IP, 5 K
- James Outman2-3, 3 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB
- Austin Martin2-4, 3 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB
Key Plays
- Late score1-6Lopez singled to center, Edwards scored, Hicks to third.8th Inning
- Late double1-8Outman doubled to left, Kreidler scored and Keaschall scored.8th Inning
- Late home run0-6Zebby Matthews pitches to Christopher Morel7th Inning
- Late home run1-9Kendry Rojas pitches to Christopher Morel9th Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Starter innings, six-plus innings, run prevention.
RBI, three-plus RBI, multi-run game.
RBI, three-plus RBI.
RBI.
RBI.
RBI.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: Minnesota Twins beat Miami Marlins 9-1.
- Top line: Zebby Matthews (Minnesota Twins) — 7.0 IP, 5 K.
- Support line: James Outman (Minnesota Twins) — 2-3, 3 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB.
- Support line: Austin Martin (Minnesota Twins) — 2-4, 3 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScoreOutman singled to right, Kreidler scored, Outman to second.0–6
- DoubleBell doubled to left, Outman scored and Martin scored, Jeffers to third.0–4
- ScoreLopez singled to center, Edwards scored, Hicks to third.1–6
- ScoreCaratini grounded out to second, Jeffers scored, Bell to third.0–5
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Miami Marlins player box 15 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Miami Marlins
· Starter
Batting#
- Xavier Edwards 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Liam Hicks 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Otto Lopez 2H0R1RBI0HR
- Kyle Stowers 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Christopher Morel 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Jakob Marsee 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Leo Jimenez 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Owen Caissie 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Esteury Ruiz 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Javier Sanoja 0H0R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier EdwardsValue card 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .313 | .402 | .475 |
| Liam HicksValue card C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .295 | .358 | .523 |
| Otto LopezValue card SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .339 | .370 | .497 |
| Kyle StowersValue card LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .215 | .319 | .304 |
| Christopher MorelValue card 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .171 | .237 | .200 |
| Jakob MarseeValue card CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .176 | .298 | .264 |
| Leo JimenezValue card 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .235 | .341 | .265 |
| Owen CaissieValue card RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .208 | .267 | .349 |
| Esteury RuizValue card CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .217 | .217 | .565 |
| Javier SanojaValue card 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .253 | .316 | .299 |
Pitching#
- Braxton Garrett 4H5R0HR5BB
- Calvin Faucher 2H1R0HR0BB
- Anthony Bender 0H0R0HR0BB
- Lake Bachar 0H0R0HR0BB
- John King 3H3R0HR1BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton GarrettValue card SP· | 1.1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 64-30 | 33.75 | 64 |
| Calvin FaucherValue card RP | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24-16 | 3.06 | 24 |
| Anthony BenderValue card RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19-13 | 3.78 | 19 |
| Lake BacharValue card RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23-16 | 2.05 | 23 |
| John KingValue card RP | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17-10 | 2.41 | 17 |
Minnesota Twins player box 11 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Minnesota Twins
· Starter
Batting#
- Austin Martin 2H1R3RBI0HR
- Brooks Lee 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Ryan Jeffers 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Josh Bell 1H0R2RBI0HR
- Victor Caratini 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Luke Keaschall 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Royce Lewis 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Ryan Kreidler 2H3R0RBI0HR
- James Outman 2H2R3RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin MartinValue card LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .333 | .454 | .429 |
| Brooks LeeValue card SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .260 | .316 | .404 |
| Ryan JeffersValue card C· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .294 | .409 | .532 |
| Josh BellValue card DH· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | .214 | .282 | .325 |
| Victor CaratiniValue card C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .194 | .287 | .233 |
| Luke KeaschallValue card 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .223 | .307 | .293 |
| Royce LewisValue card 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .161 | .269 | .290 |
| Ryan KreidlerValue card CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .294 | .455 | .706 |
| James OutmanValue card CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .167 | .231 | .250 |
Pitching#
- Zebby Matthews 4H0R0HR1BB
- Kendry Rojas 1H1R0HR2BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zebby MatthewsValue card SP· | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 83-56 | 0.00 | 83 |
| Kendry RojasValue card SP | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 41-23 | 2.45 | 41 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Go-ahead run · 3rd InningOutman singled to right, Kreidler scored, Outman to second.0–6
- Double · 1st InningLee doubled to left, Martin to third.0–0
- Double · 2nd InningBell doubled to left, Outman scored and Martin scored, Jeffers to third.0–4
- Late score · 8th InningLopez singled to center, Edwards scored, Hicks to third.1–6
- Late score · 8th InningMartin singled to right, Outman scored.1–9
- Go-ahead run · 2nd InningMartin hit a ground rule double, Lewis scored and Kreidler scored, Outman to third.0–2
- Double · 4th InningMorel doubled to left.0–6
- Late double · 8th InningOutman doubled to left, Kreidler scored and Keaschall scored.1–8
- Late home run · 7th InningZebby Matthews pitches to Christopher Morel0–6
- Late home run · 9th InningKendry Rojas pitches to Christopher Morel1–9
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Day GameOutdoor12:40 PM CTProbables: Braxton Garrett vs Zebby MatthewsMLB.TVTwins.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMinnesota Twins
Miami Marlins 1 · Minnesota Twins 9
Final
Miami Marlins21-26-0.3 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Minnesota Twins21-26-0.1 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.2) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Home VenueTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
Pick goes to Minnesota Twins on the back of Minnesota Twins’s margin work and Minnesota Twins’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 58%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 8.
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 58%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 8.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
Minnesota Twins
59%
Minnesota Twins win probability 59%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
- Minnesota Twins: Team baseline+2.8
- Minnesota Twins: Starter context+2.5
- Minnesota Twins: Home venue+1.0
- Miami Marlins: Bullpen rest-0.2
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Minnesota Twins
- Bailey Ober SP · #17
- Joe Ryan SP · #41
- Josh Bell 1B · #56
- Luke Keaschall 2B · #15
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
Byron BuxtonDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-ILCory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-Day
Miami Marlins
Griffin Conine10-Day-ILRobby Snelling15-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOutAdam Mazur60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.