BOS @ ATL
Truist Park · Atlanta, Georgia
Keep followingToday’s scores·MLB player values·Morning Line
Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Payton Tolle8.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER
- Bryce Elder8.0 IP, 3 K, 3 ER
- Drake Baldwin2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R
Key Plays
- Lead change3-2Contreras homered to left center (426 feet), Abreu scored.8th Inning
- Late home run3-2Riley safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Monasterio.9th Inning
- Go-ahead run0-1Baldwin homered to center (421 feet).1st Inning
- Go-ahead run1-2Baldwin singled to left, Azócar scored, Baldwin thrown out at second.5th Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Home run, RBI.
Home run, RBI.
Starter innings, six-plus innings.
Starter innings, six-plus innings.
RBI.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: Boston Red Sox beat Atlanta Braves 3-2.
- Top line: Payton Tolle (Boston Red Sox) — 8.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER.
- Support line: Bryce Elder (Atlanta Braves) — 8.0 IP, 3 K, 3 ER.
- Support line: Drake Baldwin (Atlanta Braves) — 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScoreContreras homered to left center (426 feet), Abreu scored.3–2
- ScoreBraves challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Mickey Gasper scores.1–1
- ScoreBaldwin homered to center (421 feet).0–1
- Home RunBaldwin singled to left, Azócar scored, Baldwin thrown out at second.1–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Boston Red Sox player box 12 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Boston Red Sox
· Starter
Batting#
- Jarren Duran 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Mickey Gasper 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Carlos Narvaez 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Wilyer Abreu 2H1R0RBI0HR
- Willson Contreras 2H1R2RBI1HR
- Masataka Yoshida 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Ceddanne Rafaela 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Marcelo Mayer 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Andruw Monasterio 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Caleb Durbin 0H0R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren DuranValue card LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .176 | .238 | .296 |
| Mickey GasperValue card C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .381 | .409 | .476 |
| Carlos NarvaezValue card C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .284 | .345 |
| Wilyer AbreuValue card RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .307 | .380 | .470 |
| Willson ContrerasValue card 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .252 | .363 | .464 |
| Masataka YoshidaValue card DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .260 | .370 | .312 |
| Ceddanne RafaelaValue card CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .283 | .350 | .434 |
| Marcelo MayerValue card 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .225 | .293 | .325 |
| Andruw MonasterioValue card SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .243 | .293 | .400 |
| Caleb DurbinValue card 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .165 | .247 | .245 |
Pitching#
- Payton Tolle 4H2R1HR1BB
- Aroldis Chapman 0H0R0HR2BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton TolleValue card SP· | 8.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 85-60 | 2.05 | 85 |
| Aroldis ChapmanValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20-10 | 0.57 | 20 |
Atlanta Braves player box 12 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Atlanta Braves
· Starter
Batting#
- Drake Baldwin 2H1R2RBI1HR
- Ozzie Albies 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Matt Olson 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Austin Riley 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Jorge Mateo 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Mauricio Dubon 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Michael Harris II 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Ha-Seong Kim 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Sandy Leon 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Jose Azocar 2H1R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake BaldwinValue card C· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .304 | .385 | .549 |
| Ozzie AlbiesValue card 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .277 | .332 | .458 |
| Matt OlsonValue card 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .281 | .356 | .601 |
| Austin RileyValue card 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .214 | .283 | .358 |
| Jorge MateoValue card SS | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .309 | .345 | .455 |
| Mauricio DubonValue card SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .245 | .305 | .387 |
| Michael Harris IIValue card CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .301 | .331 | .500 |
| Ha-Seong KimValue card SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .059 | .111 | .059 |
| Sandy LeonValue card C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .286 | .286 | .286 |
| Jose AzocarValue card RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .400 | .400 | .600 |
Pitching#
- Bryce Elder 7H3R1HR0BB
- Martin Perez 0H0R0HR0BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce ElderValue card SP· | 8.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 103-72 | 2.01 | 103 |
| Martin PerezValue card SP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-8 | 2.25 | 14 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Double · 3rd InningAzócar doubled to center.0–1
- Lead change · 8th InningContreras homered to left center (426 feet), Abreu scored.3–2
- Late home run · 9th InningRiley safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Monasterio.3–2
- Tied it · 4th InningBraves challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Mickey Gasper scores.1–1
- Double · 5th InningAzócar doubled to left.1–1
- Double · 1st InningDuran doubled to right.0–0
- Go-ahead run · 1st InningBaldwin homered to center (421 feet).0–1
- Go-ahead run · 5th InningBaldwin singled to left, Azócar scored, Baldwin thrown out at second.1–2
- Double · 7th InningRafaela doubled to left.1–2
- Double · 8th InningAbreu doubled to left.1–2
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET73°F · 4 mph wind · overcastProbables: Payton Tolle vs Bryce ElderMLB.TVBravesVisionGray Media
Result readBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox 3 · Atlanta Braves 2
Final
Boston Red Sox21-27-1-0.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.2) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 45%
Atlanta Braves33-16+1.8 net/g (schedule-adjusted +1.7) · expected win rate 69% · last 10: 70%
Home VenueTruist ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
Boston Red Sox gets the nod thanks to Atlanta Braves’s margin advantage, with Atlanta Braves’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 71%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 1.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 71%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 1.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
Atlanta Braves
71%
Atlanta Braves win probability 71%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Atlanta Braves: Team baseline+24.2
- Atlanta Braves: Home venue+1.0
- Atlanta Braves: Starter context+0.9
- Boston Red Sox: Bullpen rest-0.5
Model check
Live model: Atlanta Braves
71%
v3 candidate: Atlanta Braves
66%
Same pick; home probability -5.0 pp, confidence -5.0 pp
- Boston Red Sox: scoring-margin gap -0.46
- Atlanta Braves: expected-win gap +0.31
- Atlanta Braves: home pythag +0.28
Copies the current sliders and toggles into this matchup link.
Scenario presets
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Matt Olson 1B · #28
Injury Report
Atlanta Braves
Eli White7-Day ILKyle Farmer10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayDrake Baldwin10-Day-ILHurston Waldrep15-Day-IL
Boston Red Sox
Danny Coulombe15-Day-ILRomy Gonzalez60-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-ILHobie HarrisDay-To-DayPatrick Sandoval60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.