CIN @ CLE
Progressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio
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Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Angel Martinez2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 3 R
- Chris Paddack5.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER
- Dane Myers1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R
Key Plays
- Go-ahead run0-2Rocchio singled to left, Kwan scored and Martínez scored, Hedges to second.2nd Inning
- Go-ahead run4-6Martínez homered to right center (395 feet), Manzardo scored.7th Inning
- Late run4-7Ramírez scored on error, Bazzana safe at first on fielding error by pitcher Phillips, DeLauter to second.8th Inning
- Lead change4-2Steer doubled to center, Hayes scored and De La Cruz scored, Stewart thrown out at home.5th Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Home run, RBI, multi-run game.
Home run, RBI.
RBI.
RBI.
RBI, walk volume.
Multi-run game, walk volume.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: Cleveland Guardians beat Cincinnati Reds 7-4.
- Top line: Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians) — 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 3 R.
- Support line: Chris Paddack (Cincinnati Reds) — 5.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER.
- Support line: Dane Myers (Cincinnati Reds) — 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScoreHoskins hit sacrifice fly to left, Martínez scored.4–4
- ScoreRocchio singled to left, Kwan scored and Martínez scored, Hedges to second.0–2
- ScoreStewart walked, Dunn scored, De La Cruz to second, Hayes to third.2–2
- ScoreMartínez homered to right center (395 feet), Manzardo scored.4–6
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Cincinnati Reds player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Cincinnati Reds
· Starter
Batting#
- Dane Myers 1H1R1RBI1HR
- Elly De La Cruz 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Sal Stewart 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Spencer Steer 1H0R2RBI0HR
- JJ Bleday 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Matt McLain 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Blake Dunn 2H1R0RBI0HR
- Will Benson 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Jose Trevino 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Tyler Stephenson 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Ke'Bryan Hayes 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Nathaniel Lowe 0H0R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane MyersValue card CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .238 | .360 | .397 |
| Elly De La CruzValue card SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .299 | .363 | .522 |
| Sal StewartValue card 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | .236 | .328 | .454 |
| Spencer SteerValue card LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .263 | .333 | .449 |
| JJ BledayValue card LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .323 | .440 | .726 |
| Matt McLainValue card 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .217 | .323 | .360 |
| Blake DunnValue card RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .294 | .400 | .529 |
| Will BensonValue card RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .183 | .333 | .324 |
| Jose TrevinoValue card C· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .138 | .167 | .172 |
| Tyler StephensonValue card C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .180 | .279 | .297 |
| Ke'Bryan HayesValue card 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .150 | .207 | .239 |
| Nathaniel LoweValue card DH | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .242 | .324 | .495 |
Pitching#
- Chris Paddack 6H2R0HR1BB
- Luis Mey 1H2R0HR2BB
- Sam Moll 1H1R0HR1BB
- Pierce Johnson 1H1R1HR1BB
- Connor Phillips 1H1R0HR2BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris PaddackValue card SP· | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 78-56 | 7.07 | 78 |
| Luis MeyValue card RP | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21-9 | 5.40 | 21 |
| Sam MollValue card RP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22-14 | 3.32 | 22 |
| Pierce JohnsonValue card RP | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12-6 | 3.93 | 12 |
| Connor PhillipsValue card RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27-15 | 4.94 | 27 |
Cleveland Guardians player box 16 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Cleveland Guardians
· Starter
Batting#
- Daniel Schneemann 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Rhys Hoskins 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Petey Halpin 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Jose Ramirez 2H1R0RBI0HR
- Chase DeLauter 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Kyle Manzardo 2H1R0RBI0HR
- Travis Bazzana 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Steven Kwan 1H2R0RBI0HR
- Angel Martinez 2H3R2RBI1HR
- Austin Hedges 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Brayan Rocchio 2H0R2RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel SchneemannValue card CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .265 | .348 | .436 |
| Rhys HoskinsValue card 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .186 | .359 | .371 |
| Petey HalpinValue card CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .100 | .143 | .100 |
| Jose RamirezValue card 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .227 | .353 | .384 |
| Chase DeLauterValue card RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .278 | .366 | .477 |
| Kyle ManzardoValue card 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .216 | .298 | .312 |
| Travis BazzanaValue card 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .236 | .391 | .309 |
| Steven KwanValue card CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | .204 | .316 | .259 |
| Angel MartinezValue card LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .266 | .313 | .496 |
| Austin HedgesValue card C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | .263 | .338 | .386 |
| Brayan RocchioValue card SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .277 | .357 | .372 |
Pitching#
- Joey Cantillo 4H4R1HR4BB
- Colin Holderman 1H0R0HR0BB
- Erik Sabrowski 0H0R0HR0BB
- Hunter Gaddis 0H0R0HR0BB
- Cade Smith 0H0R0HR1BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey CantilloValue card SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 87-53 | 3.40 | 87 |
| Colin HoldermanValue card RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-10 | 1.65 | 13 |
| Erik SabrowskiValue card RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-3 | 1.83 | 5 |
| Hunter GaddisValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-7 | 6.10 | 14 |
| Cade SmithValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17-9 | 2.91 | 17 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Go-ahead run · 2nd InningRocchio singled to left, Kwan scored and Martínez scored, Hedges to second.0–2
- Tied it · 5th InningStewart walked, Dunn scored, De La Cruz to second, Hayes to third.2–2
- Double · 6th InningMartínez doubled to left, Kwan to third.4–2
- Go-ahead run · 7th InningMartínez homered to right center (395 feet), Manzardo scored.4–6
- Late run · 8th InningRamírez scored on error, Bazzana safe at first on fielding error by pitcher Phillips, DeLauter to second.4–7
- Lead change · 5th InningSteer doubled to center, Hayes scored and De La Cruz scored, Stewart thrown out at home.4–2
- Go-ahead run · 2nd InningChris Paddack pitches to Brayan Rocchio0–2
- Home Run · 1st InningChris Paddack pitches to Daniel Schneemann0–0
- Home Run · 1st InningChris Paddack pitches to Jose Ramirez0–0
- Home Run · 1st InningChris Paddack pitches to Chase DeLauter0–0
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM ETProbables: Chris Paddack vs Joey CantilloMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVReds.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds 4 · Cleveland Guardians 7
Final
Cincinnati Reds25-24-0.7 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Cleveland Guardians28-22-1+0.4 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.3) · expected win rate 54% · last 10: 70%
Home VenueProgressive FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
Two reasons the projection lands on Cleveland Guardians: Cleveland Guardians’s scoring margin profile and Cleveland Guardians’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 66%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 3.
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 66%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 3.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
Cleveland Guardians
65%
Cleveland Guardians win probability 65%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Cleveland Guardians: Team baseline+15.9
- Cleveland Guardians: Home venue+1.0
- Cleveland Guardians: Starter context+0.1
Model check
Live model: Cleveland Guardians
65%
v3 candidate: Cleveland Guardians
61%
Same pick; home probability -3.3 pp, confidence -3.3 pp
- Cincinnati Reds: scoring-margin gap -0.23
- Cleveland Guardians: v2 shadow probability +0.22
- Cleveland Guardians: expected-win gap +0.15
Copies the current sliders and toggles into this matchup link.
Scenario presets
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Cincinnati Reds
- Andrew Abbott SP · #41
- Brady Singer SP · #51
- Elly De La Cruz SS · #44
- Matt McLain 2B · #9
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Injury Report
Cleveland Guardians
Peyton PallettePaternityGabriel Arias10-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
Cincinnati Reds
Caleb Ferguson15-Day-ILJosh StaumontDay-To-DayRhett Lowder15-Day-ILEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.