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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Double0-3Mateo doubled to left.2nd Inning
  • Late double1-8Sogard doubled to right, Wong scored.9th Inning
  • Go-ahead run0-3Riley homered to left center (431 feet), Albies scored and Harris II scored.1st Inning
  • Late score0-8Baldwin hit sacrifice fly to center, Mateo scored.8th Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Austin Riley 100
Atlanta Braves · Batting 2-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 2 R

Home run, RBI, three-plus RBI.

Signal 100/100Value #1911
Mike Yastrzemski 80
Atlanta Braves · Batting 2-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB

Home run, RBI, multi-run game.

Signal 80/100Value #3960
Grant Holmes 56
Atlanta Braves · Pitching 6.0 IP · 4 K · 1 BB

Starter innings, six-plus innings, run prevention.

Signal 56/100Value #1670
Drake Baldwin 36
Atlanta Braves · Batting 0-2 · 2 RBI · 2 BB

RBI, walk volume.

Signal 36/100Value #1665
Dominic Smith 18
Atlanta Braves · Batting 1-4 · 1 RBI

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #1446
Nick Sogard 18
Boston Red Sox · Batting 1-4 · 1 RBI

RBI.

Signal 18/100
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Atlanta Braves beat Boston Red Sox 8-1.
  • Top line: Grant Holmes (Atlanta Braves) — 6.0 IP, 4 K.
  • Support line: Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves) — 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Mike Yastrzemski (Atlanta Braves) — 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreSmith singled to center, Riley scored.5th Inning0–7
  2. ScoreBaldwin walked, Mateo scored, Azócar to second, Yastrzemski to third.2nd Inning0–4
  3. DoubleSogard doubled to right, Wong scored.9th Inning1–8
  4. ScoreRiley homered to left center (431 feet), Albies scored and Harris II scored.1st Inning0–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Boston Red Sox000000001190
Atlanta Braves32011001880
Boston Red Sox player box 13 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Boston Red Sox

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jarren DuranValue card LF·2-5502000219.183.243.305
Mickey GasperValue card C·0-4400000216.320.346.400
Wilyer AbreuValue card RF·0-4400000013.300.372.459
Willson ContrerasValue card 1B·1-3301000010.253.362.468
Isiah Kiner-FalefaValue card 2B1-110100001.214.267.238
Ceddanne RafaelaValue card CF·1-3301001019.284.354.432
Marcelo MayerValue card 2B·0-4400000113.218.285.315
Andruw MonasterioValue card SS·1-4401000012.243.291.392
Carlos NarvaezValue card C·1-220100006.225.289.348
Connor WongValue card C1-221100016.255.333.353
Nick SogardValue card 3B·1-4401100113.250.250.500

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brayan BelloValue card SP·5.087731298-617.1698
Ryan WatsonValue card RP3.001134048-275.8648
Atlanta Braves player box 12 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Atlanta Braves

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Drake BaldwinValue card C·0-2200202022.301.385.543
Ozzie AlbiesValue card 2B·1-5511000121.275.328.451
Matt OlsonValue card 1B·0-3300101115.276.354.591
Michael Harris IIValue card CF·0-4410000013.293.323.487
Austin RileyValue card 3B·2-4422310115.220.287.384
Dominic SmithValue card DH·1-4401100019.344.371.511
Jorge MateoValue card SS·1-3321001119.310.355.466
Mike YastrzemskiValue card LF·2-3322111012.232.299.344
Jose AzocarValue card RF·1-3301001110.385.429.538

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Grant HolmesValue card SP·6.050014087-583.8087
Reynaldo LopezValue card RP2.020002026-183.5626
Tyler KinleyValue card RP1.021101015-124.1215

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Double · 2nd InningMateo doubled to left.0–3
  2. Double · 5th InningRiley doubled to left.0–6
  3. Run-scoring play · 2nd InningBaldwin walked, Mateo scored, Azócar to second, Yastrzemski to third.0–4
  4. Run-scoring play · 5th InningSmith singled to center, Riley scored.0–7
  5. Late double · 9th InningSogard doubled to right, Wong scored.1–8
  6. Go-ahead run · 1st InningRiley homered to left center (431 feet), Albies scored and Harris II scored.0–3
  7. Double · 3rd InningDuran doubled to left.0–5
  8. Late score · 8th InningBaldwin hit sacrifice fly to center, Mateo scored.0–8
  9. Double · 4th InningContreras doubled to left.0–5
  10. Double · 8th InningKiner-Falefa doubled to right.0–7

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET81°F · 10 mph wind · drizzleProbables: Brayan Bello vs Grant HolmesMLB.TVBravesVisionGray Media
Result readAtlanta Braves

Boston Red Sox 1 · Atlanta Braves 8

Final
Boston Red Sox22-27-1-0.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.2) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Atlanta Braves34-16+2.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted +1.8) · expected win rate 70% · last 10: 70%
Home VenueTruist ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Two reasons the projection lands on Atlanta Braves: Atlanta Braves’s scoring margin profile and Atlanta Braves’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 71%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 7.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Atlanta Braves
72% Atlanta Braves win probability 72%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Atlanta Braves: Team baseline+25.3
    • Atlanta Braves: Starter context+2.6
    • Atlanta Braves: Home venue+1.0
    • Boston Red Sox: Bullpen rest-0.3
    Model check
    Live model: Atlanta Braves 72%
    v3 candidate: Boston Red Sox 61%
    Different pick; home probability -33.0 pp, confidence -11.0 pp
    • Boston Red Sox: day start profile -1.31
    • Boston Red Sox: scoring-margin gap -0.48
    • Atlanta Braves: expected-win gap +0.32
    Preview v3 controls
    Copies or saves the current sliders and toggles.
    Scenario presets

    For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

    Key Players to Watch

    Boston Red Sox

    Atlanta Braves

    Injury Report

    Atlanta Braves

    Kyle Farmer10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayDrake Baldwin10-Day-ILHurston Waldrep15-Day-ILDanny Young60-Day-IL

    Boston Red Sox

    Danny Coulombe15-Day-ILRomy Gonzalez60-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-ILHobie HarrisDay-To-DayPatrick Sandoval60-Day-IL
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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