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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Late run3-5Caratini hit sacrifice fly to left, Keaschall scored.8th Inning
  • Late run4-5Bauers singled to right, Turang scored, Contreras to third.9th Inning
  • Late home run3-4Taylor Rogers pitches to Christian Yelich7th Inning
  • Late home run3-5Luis Garcia pitches to Christian Yelich9th Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Ryan Jeffers 80
Minnesota Twins · Batting 2-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB

Home run, RBI, multi-run game.

Signal 80/100Value #1575
Garrett Mitchell 70
Milwaukee Brewers · Batting 1-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #2687
Christian Yelich 70
Milwaukee Brewers · Batting 1-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100
Kody Clemens 28
Minnesota Twins · Batting 2-4 · 2 RBI · 1 R

RBI.

Signal 28/100Value #3661
Jake Bauers 18
Milwaukee Brewers · Batting 2-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #1560
Sal Frelick 18
Milwaukee Brewers · Batting 2-5 · 1 RBI

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #3540
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Minnesota Twins beat Milwaukee Brewers 5-4.
  • Top line: Ryan Jeffers (Minnesota Twins) — 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers) — 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers) — 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreCaratini hit sacrifice fly to left, Keaschall scored.8th Inning3–5
  2. ScoreJeffers homered to left (389 feet).5th Inning3–4
  3. DoubleClemens doubled to right, Martin scored.1st Inning0–1
  4. DoubleFrelick doubled to right, Bauers scored.2nd Inning1–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers0101100014101
Minnesota Twins10201001560
Milwaukee Brewers player box 16 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Milwaukee Brewers

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jackson ChourioValue card LF·1-5501000021.306.346.469
Brice TurangValue card 2B·0-4410001121.288.409.484
William ContrerasValue card C·2-5502000017.283.358.386
Christian YelichValue card DH·1-5511110117.283.338.450
Jake BauersValue card 1B·2-4412101012.281.358.489
Blake PerkinsValue card CF0-000000000.111.213.167
Sal FrelickValue card RF·2-5502100017.225.304.310
Garrett MitchellValue card CF·1-3311110110.223.345.355
Andrew VaughnValue card 1B0-110000002.281.410.438
Joey OrtizValue card SS·1-1101003017.198.275.250
David HamiltonValue card SS·0-110000017.225.325.245
Luis RengifoValue card 3B0-220000017.203.270.266

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Robert GasserValue card SP·4.033223079-484.5079
Grant AndersonValue card RP1.221102129-183.2029
DL HallValue card RP1.100012021-121.6921
Jake WoodfordValue card RP1.011101019-114.6719
Minnesota Twins player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Minnesota Twins

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Austin MartinValue card LF·0-2210001017.313.437.400
Brooks LeeValue card SS·0-4400000110.247.300.380
Ryan JeffersValue card C·2-3322111018.294.410.538
Kody ClemensValue card 1B·2-4412200013.245.341.445
Luke KeaschallValue card 2B·2-3312001018.232.316.311
Victor CaratiniValue card C·0-1100100020.192.294.231
Royce LewisValue card 3B·0-3300000316.163.261.279
Trevor LarnachValue card LF0-110000007.265.390.402
Tristan GrayValue card 3B0-000000000.232.280.377
Ryan KreidlerValue card CF·0-4400000216.292.414.583
James OutmanValue card CF·0-3300000213.178.229.289

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Bailey OberValue card SP·5.063321277-463.6377
Anthony BandaValue card RP0.210012018-106.9818
Andrew MorrisValue card RP1.000001012-84.7412
Taylor RogersValue card RP0.21000008-74.008
Justin TopaValue card RP0.200010011-56.8711
Luis GarciaValue card RP1.021111022-139.0022

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Triple · 8th InningKeaschall tripled to left.3–4
  2. Late run · 8th InningCaratini hit sacrifice fly to left, Keaschall scored.3–5
  3. Go-ahead run · 1st InningClemens doubled to right, Martin scored.0–1
  4. Tied it · 2nd InningFrelick doubled to right, Bauers scored.1–1
  5. Tied it · 5th InningYelich homered to right center (398 feet).3–3
  6. Late run · 9th InningBauers singled to right, Turang scored, Contreras to third.4–5
  7. Go-ahead run · 3rd InningClemens doubled to left, Jeffers scored on error and Clemens scored on throwing error by shortstop Ortiz.1–3
  8. Late home run · 7th InningTaylor Rogers pitches to Christian Yelich3–4
  9. Late home run · 9th InningLuis Garcia pitches to Christian Yelich3–5
  10. Tied it · 5th InningBailey Ober pitches to Christian Yelich3–3

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CTProbables: Robert Gasser vs Bailey OberMLB.TVTwins.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMinnesota Twins

Milwaukee Brewers 4 · Minnesota Twins 5

Final
Milwaukee Brewers29-18-2+1.5 net/g (schedule-adjusted +1.6) · expected win rate 67% · last 10: 80%
Minnesota Twins23-27-0.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.1) · expected win rate 50% · last 10: 60%
Home VenueTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Minnesota Twins gets the nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Milwaukee Brewers’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 71%. Actual: Minnesota Twins by 1.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Milwaukee Brewers
71% Minnesota Twins win probability 29%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Milwaukee Brewers: Team baseline-19.1
    • Minnesota Twins: Home venue+1.0
    • Minnesota Twins: Starter context+1.0
    • Milwaukee Brewers: Bullpen rest-0.6
    Model check
    Live model: Milwaukee Brewers 71%
    v3 candidate: Milwaukee Brewers 79%
    Same pick; home probability -7.9 pp, confidence +7.9 pp
    • Milwaukee Brewers: day start profile -1.31
    • Minnesota Twins: scoring-margin gap +0.34
    • Milwaukee Brewers: v2 shadow probability -0.25
    Preview v3 controls
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    Key Players to Watch

    Milwaukee Brewers

    Minnesota Twins

    Injury Report

    Minnesota Twins

    Cory LewisDay-To-DayJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-ILTaj Bradley15-Day-ILMatt CanterinoDay-To-Day

    Milwaukee Brewers

    Garrett MitchellDay-To-DayRob Zastryzny60-Day-ILJared Koenig15-Day-ILQuinn Priester15-Day-ILAkil Baddoo60-Day-IL
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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