SD @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
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Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Gavin Sheets3-3, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 R
- Ty France3-4, 3 RBI
- Lucas Giolito5.0 IP, 3 K, 3 ER
Key Plays
- Double2-0Andujar doubled to center.6th Inning
- Double4-0Machado doubled to left.6th Inning
- Late double8-3Sheets doubled to right, Tatis Jr. scored.7th Inning
- Go-ahead run1-0Sheets homered to right (400 feet).1st Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Home run, RBI, three-plus RBI.
RBI, three-plus RBI, three-hit game.
Starter innings, six-plus strikeouts.
RBI.
RBI.
RBI.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: San Diego Padres beat Seattle Mariners 8-3.
- Top line: Gavin Sheets (San Diego Padres) — 3-3, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 R.
- Support line: Ty France (San Diego Padres) — 3-4, 3 RBI.
- Support line: Lucas Giolito (San Diego Padres) — 5.0 IP, 3 K, 3 ER.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScoreFrance singled to center, Merrill scored and Laureano scored.7–0
- ScoreNaylor walked, Emerson scored, Rodríguez to second, Rivas to third.7–1
- ScoreRefsnyder hit sacrifice fly to right, Rodríguez scored, Naylor to third.7–3
- ScoreFrance singled to right, Bogaerts scored.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 2 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
San Diego Padres player box 13 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
San Diego Padres
· Starter
Batting#
- Fernando Tatis Jr. 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Miguel Andujar 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Sung-Mun Song 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Gavin Sheets 3H2R4RBI2HR
- Manny Machado 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Xander Bogaerts 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Jackson Merrill 1H1R1RBI0HR
- Ramon Laureano 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Ty France 3H0R3RBI0HR
- Freddy Fermin 0H0R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr.Value card RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .232 | .307 | .274 |
| Miguel AndujarValue card DH· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | .291 | .313 | .480 |
| Sung-Mun SongValue card 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .333 | .278 |
| Gavin SheetsValue card 1B· | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .262 | .340 | .556 |
| Manny MachadoValue card 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .182 | .277 | .327 |
| Xander BogaertsValue card SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | .258 | .331 | .405 |
| Jackson MerrillValue card CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .206 | .274 | .329 |
| Ramon LaureanoValue card LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | .219 | .298 | .377 |
| Ty FranceValue card 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .280 | .308 | .520 |
| Freddy FerminValue card C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .160 | .247 | .210 |
Pitching#
- Lucas Giolito 1H3R0HR3BB
- Yuki Matsui 0H0R0HR2BB
- Bradgley Rodriguez 0H0R0HR0BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas GiolitoValue card SP· | 5.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 78-44 | 5.40 | 78 |
| Yuki MatsuiValue card RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 33-19 | 0.00 | 33 |
| Bradgley RodriguezValue card RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 28-18 | 1.59 | 28 |
Seattle Mariners player box 15 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Seattle Mariners
· Starter
Batting#
- J.P. Crawford 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Leo Rivas 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Julio Rodriguez 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Josh Naylor 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Randy Arozarena 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Luke Raley 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Rob Refsnyder 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Cole Young 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Dominic Canzone 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Mitch Garver 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Colt Emerson 0H1R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. CrawfordValue card SS· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .216 | .363 | .374 |
| Leo RivasValue card 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .131 | .263 | .172 |
| Julio RodriguezValue card CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .251 | .319 | .408 |
| Josh NaylorValue card 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .249 | .316 | .362 |
| Randy ArozarenaValue card LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .301 | .386 | .445 |
| Luke RaleyValue card RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .269 | .336 | .571 |
| Rob RefsnyderValue card DH | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .123 | .197 | .228 |
| Cole YoungValue card 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .249 | .323 | .361 |
| Dominic CanzoneValue card DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .245 | .321 | .439 |
| Mitch GarverValue card C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .161 | .329 | .232 |
| Colt EmersonValue card 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .000 | .333 | .000 |
Pitching#
- George Kirby 6H6R2HR2BB
- Cooper Criswell 1H1R0HR1BB
- Alex Hoppe 2H1R0HR0BB
- Domingo Gonzalez 1H0R0HR1BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George KirbyValue card SP· | 5.2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 98-62 | 3.45 | 98 |
| Cooper CriswellValue card RP | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19-12 | 2.79 | 19 |
| Alex HoppeValue card RP | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26-19 | 5.79 | 26 |
| Domingo GonzalezValue card SP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25-16 | 0.00 | 25 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Run-scoring play · 6th InningFrance singled to center, Merrill scored and Laureano scored.7–0
- Run-scoring play · 6th InningNaylor walked, Emerson scored, Rodríguez to second, Rivas to third.7–1
- Run-scoring play · 6th InningRefsnyder hit sacrifice fly to right, Rodríguez scored, Naylor to third.7–3
- Double · 6th InningAndujar doubled to center.2–0
- Run-scoring play · 5th InningFrance singled to right, Bogaerts scored.2–0
- Double · 6th InningMachado doubled to left.4–0
- Double · 6th InningMerrill doubled to right, Machado scored.5–0
- Run-scoring play · 6th InningSheets homered to right (404 feet), Andujar scored.4–0
- Late double · 7th InningSheets doubled to right, Tatis Jr. scored.8–3
- Go-ahead run · 1st InningSheets homered to right (400 feet).1–0
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:20 PM PTProbables: Lucas Giolito vs George KirbyPeacock4359221
Result readSan Diego Padres
San Diego Padres 8 · Seattle Mariners 3
Final
San Diego Padres29-20+0.1 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 60%
Seattle Mariners24-27+0.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.2) · expected win rate 52% · last 10: 50%
Home VenueT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
The projection leans San Diego Padres because Seattle Mariners owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and San Diego Padres has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 59%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 5.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 59%. Actual: San Diego Padres by 5.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
Seattle Mariners
57%
Seattle Mariners win probability 57%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Seattle Mariners: Team baseline+3.5
- Seattle Mariners: Home venue+1.0
- San Diego Padres: Starter context-0.3
- Seattle Mariners: Bullpen rest+0.2
Model check
Live model: Seattle Mariners
57%
v3 candidate: Seattle Mariners
54%
Same pick; home probability -3.0 pp, confidence -3.0 pp
- Seattle Mariners: away rest hours capped +0.07
- San Diego Padres: home win pct minus away -0.06
- San Diego Padres: indoor venue context -0.05
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Scenario presets
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
J.P. CrawfordDay-To-DayTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayVictor Robles10-Day-ILCarlos Vargas60-Day-ILMiles Mastrobuoni60-Day-IL
San Diego Padres
Jackson MerrillDay-To-DayJake Cronenworth7-day ilBlake HuntDay-To-DayMatt Waldron15-Day-ILJhony Brito60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.