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BAL @ TB

Joshua Silvia
35–53 minutes

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Fast path

Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Double4-8Walls doubled to right.5th Inning
  • Go-ahead run0-1Vilade hit sacrifice fly to right, Díaz scored.1st Inning
  • Late score5-16Rutschman homered to center (419 feet).7th Inning
  • Late double6-16Alexander doubled to center, Jackson scored.8th Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Junior Caminero 100
Tampa Bay Rays · Batting 2-4 · 1 HR · 4 RBI · 3 R · 2 BB

Home run, RBI, three-plus RBI.

Signal 100/100Value #1676
Yandy Diaz 100
Tampa Bay Rays · Batting 4-5 · 4 RBI · 4 R

RBI, three-plus RBI, three-hit game.

Signal 100/100Value #1110
Adley Rutschman 90
Baltimore Orioles · Batting 2-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB

Home run, RBI, multi-run game.

Signal 90/100Value #2077
Weston Wilson 70
Baltimore Orioles · Batting 2-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #3825
Ryan Vilade 68
Tampa Bay Rays · Batting 3-3 · 3 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

RBI, three-plus RBI, three-hit game.

Signal 68/100Value #3678
Pete Alonso 52
Baltimore Orioles · Batting 3-5 · 2 RBI

RBI, three-hit game.

Signal 52/100Value #1812
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Tampa Bay Rays beat Baltimore Orioles 16-6.
  • Top line: Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) — 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 3 R.
  • Support line: Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays) — 4-5, 4 RBI, 4 R.
  • Support line: Adley Rutschman (Baltimore Orioles) — 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreVilade singled to right, Díaz scored, Caminero to third.6th Inning4–16
  2. ScorePalacios singled to center, Fortes scored, Walls to third.6th Inning4–13
  3. ScoreAranda grounded out to shortstop, Walls scored, Díaz to second, Palacios to third.5th Inning4–9
  4. DoubleAlonso doubled to center, Rutschman scored and Alexander scored.5th Inning4–8

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles0010301106121
Tampa Bay Rays15024400—16181
Baltimore Orioles player box 15 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Baltimore Orioles

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor WardValue card LF·1-4411001321.262.419.369
Gunnar HendersonValue card SS·0-4400000214.210.264.415
Colton CowserValue card CF0-110000002.171.266.232
Adley RutschmanValue card C·2-4422211123.276.325.534
Pete AlonsoValue card 1B·3-5503200222.225.307.423
Tyler O'NeillValue card RF·0-5500000113.167.293.256
Coby MayoValue card 3B·1-5501000117.185.255.339
Jeremiah JacksonValue card 2B·2-5512000017.253.270.418
Weston WilsonValue card 3B·2-4412110011.290.421.419
Blaze AlexanderValue card 3B·1-3311101119.245.304.298

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Trevor RogersValue card SP·3.288723088-606.8788
Cameron FosterValue card RP1.154420135-209.0035
Dietrich EnnsValue card RP1.034430039-203.9539
Andrew KittredgeValue card RP1.00000107-69.727
Weston WilsonValue card 3B·1.020000014-1115.4314
Tampa Bay Rays player box 14 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Tampa Bay Rays

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy DiazValue card DH·4-5544400121.310.387.480
Hunter FeducciaValue card C1-110100001.265.362.306
Jonathan ArandaValue card 1B·1-6611100125.267.370.448
Junior CamineroValue card 3B·2-4432412024.261.351.506
Ryan ViladeValue card RF·3-3313301023.317.373.500
Jonny DeLucaValue card RF·2-5502300014.278.310.435
Chandler SimpsonValue card LF·1-4401001013.295.330.352
Nick FortesValue card C·0-4420001017.272.308.342
Taylor WallsValue card SS·2-4432001126.226.328.321
Carson WilliamsValue card SS·0-220000016.120.154.160
Richie PalaciosValue card 2B2-2222101013.267.385.333

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shane McClanahanValue card SP·5.064426190-602.8290
Chase SoleskyValue card RP3.062214158-396.0058
Hunter BiggeValue card RP1.000001011-85.6011

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Double · 5th InningWalls doubled to right.4–8
  2. Double · 1st InningDíaz doubled to left.0–0
  3. Double · 2nd InningWalls doubled to left, Fortes to third.0–1
  4. Go-ahead run · 1st InningVilade hit sacrifice fly to right, Díaz scored.0–1
  5. Double · 2nd InningDeLuca doubled to center, Aranda scored and Caminero scored, Vilade to third.0–6
  6. Double · 3rd InningWard doubled to right.0–6
  7. Double · 5th InningAlonso doubled to center, Rutschman scored and Alexander scored.4–8
  8. Late score · 7th InningRutschman homered to center (419 feet).5–16
  9. Double · 2nd InningSimpson doubled to left.0–1
  10. Late double · 8th InningAlexander doubled to center, Jackson scored.6–16

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM ETProbables: Trevor Rogers vs Shane McClanahanMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

Baltimore Orioles 6 · Tampa Bay Rays 16

Final
Baltimore Orioles21-29-1-1.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted -1.1) · expected win rate 39% · last 10: 40%
Tampa Bay Rays33-15-1+0.8 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.8) · expected win rate 59% · last 10: 80%
Home VenueTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Tampa Bay Rays is the lean because of Tampa Bay Rays on the margin numbers and Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 71%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 10.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Tampa Bay Rays
72% Tampa Bay Rays win probability 72%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Tampa Bay Rays: Team baseline+31.3
    • Tampa Bay Rays: Starter context+3.6
    • Tampa Bay Rays: Home venue+1.0
    • Baltimore Orioles: Bullpen rest-0.1
    Model check
    Live model: Tampa Bay Rays 72%
    v3 candidate: Tampa Bay Rays 64%
    Same pick; home probability -7.7 pp, confidence -7.7 pp
    • Baltimore Orioles: scoring-margin gap -0.43
    • Tampa Bay Rays: expected-win gap +0.28
    • Tampa Bay Rays: v2 shadow probability +0.23
    Preview v3 controls
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    Key Players to Watch

    Baltimore Orioles

    Tampa Bay Rays

    Injury Report

    Tampa Bay Rays

    Yandy DiazDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-DayLogan DriscollDay-To-DayTre' MorganDay-To-DayTJ NicholsDay-To-Day

    Baltimore Orioles

    Grant Wolfram15-Day-ILHeston Kjerstad60-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-DayWill RobertsonDay-To-DayLevi WellsDay-To-Day
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

    Baltimore Orioles
    TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
    Tampa Bay Rays
    CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40

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