CLE @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Cleveland Guardians 4.3 · Philadelphia Phillies 4.2
Philadelphia Phillies gets the nod thanks to Cleveland Guardians’s margin advantage, with Philadelphia Phillies’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Philadelphia Phillies is 70% over their recent sample; Cleveland Guardians is 50%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Cleveland Guardians projects 51% from points-for vs points-allowed; Philadelphia Phillies sits at 42%.
Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Cleveland Guardians
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.
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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies
- Lvs ATH12-1
- Lvs COL9-7 F/11
- Wvs COL9-3
- Wvs COL6-0
- W@ BOS2-1
Cleveland Guardians
- Wvs MIN6-4
- Lvs MIN2-1 F/11
- Lvs MIN5-4
- Wvs LAA7-2
- Wvs LAA3-2