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Recent Form

Colorado Rockies

  • Lvs ARI9-1
  • Wvs ARI4-2
  • Lvs ARI8-6
  • Wvs TEX7-6
  • Lvs TEX10-0

San Francisco Giants

  • L@ ATH5-2
  • W@ ATH6-4
  • W@ ATH10-1
  • L@ ARI12-2
  • L@ ARI5-3

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM MTMLB.TVRockies.TV
Projected leanSan Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 4.5 · Colorado Rockies 4.0

62%confidence
San Francisco Giants20-29-1-1.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.8) · expected win rate 39% · last 10: 50%
Colorado Rockies19-30-2-1.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted -1.0) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 30%
Home VenueCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

San Francisco Giants is the lean because of San Francisco Giants on the margin numbers and San Francisco Giants on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Three things to watch

  • Form gap. San Francisco Giants is 50% over their recent sample; Colorado Rockies is 30%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean San Francisco Giants
62% Colorado Rockies win probability 38%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • San Francisco Giants: Team baseline-8.9
    • San Francisco Giants: Bullpen rest-1.7
    • Colorado Rockies: Home venue+1.0
    Model check
    Live model: San Francisco Giants 62%
    v3 candidate: San Francisco Giants 76%
    Same pick; home probability -13.6 pp, confidence +13.6 pp
    • San Francisco Giants: day start profile -1.31
    • San Francisco Giants: away rest hours capped -0.20
    • San Francisco Giants: home pythag -0.16
    Preview v3 controls
    Copies or saves the current sliders and toggles.
    Scenario presets

    For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

    Key Players to Watch

    Injury Report

    Colorado Rockies

    Brenton DoyleDay-To-DayJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILJordan Beck10-Day-IL

    San Francisco Giants

    Jung Hoo LeeDay-To-DayLogan Webb15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILHeliot Ramos10-Day-ILReiver Sanmartin60-Day-IL
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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