SF @ ATL
Truist Park · Atlanta, Georgia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
San Francisco Giants 3.0 · Atlanta Braves 5.6
The model leans Atlanta Braves because Atlanta Braves owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Atlanta Braves has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Atlanta Braves is 70% over their recent sample; San Francisco Giants is 40%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Atlanta Braves projects 71% from points-for vs points-allowed; San Francisco Giants sits at 38%.
- Scoring margin. Atlanta Braves at +2.1 per game vs. San Francisco Giants at -1.0 — a 3.1-point gap on the season.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.