SF @ PIT
PNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
San Francisco Giants 3.1 · Pittsburgh Pirates 5.4
Two reasons the projection lands on Pittsburgh Pirates: Pittsburgh Pirates’s scoring margin profile and Pittsburgh Pirates’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Pittsburgh Pirates is 60% over their recent sample; San Francisco Giants is 30%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Pittsburgh Pirates projects 57% from points-for vs points-allowed; San Francisco Giants sits at 36%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.