PHI @ BOS
TD Garden · Boston, MA
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:30 PM ETPeacock
Result readPhiladelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers 109 · Boston Celtics 100
Final
Philadelphia 76ers50-43-0.9 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Boston Celtics59-30+7.3 net/g (SOS-adj +6.8) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeTD GardenHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Philadelphia 76ers: Boston Celtics’s scoring margin profile and Boston Celtics’s recent stretch. Foul trouble for either side's anchor wing is the biggest single risk to the projection.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Boston Celtics at 90%. Actual: Philadelphia 76ers by 9.
Pre-game pick: Boston Celtics at 90%. Actual: Philadelphia 76ers by 9.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia 76ers
- VJ Edgecombe G · #77
- Tyrese Maxey G · #0
- Dominick Barlow F · #25
- Joel Embiid C · #21
Boston Celtics
- Derrick White G · #9
- Neemias Queta C · #88
- Jaylen Brown G · #7
- Sam Hauser F · #30
Game Leaders
Philadelphia 76ersJoel Embiid34 pts
Boston CelticsJaylen Brown33 pts
Injury Report
Boston Celtics
Jayson TatumOut
Philadelphia 76ers
Joel EmbiidDay-To-Day
On The Court
A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreVJ Edgecombe makes free throw 2 of 2109–100
- ScoreVJ Edgecombe makes free throw 1 of 2108–100
- ScorePayton Pritchard makes driving layup107–100
- ScoreTyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 2107–98
- ScoreTyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 2106–98
- ScoreTyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 2105–98
Scoring by Period
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | 32 | 23 | 33 | 21 | 109 |
| Boston Celtics | 19 | 31 | 25 | 25 | 100 |
Team Stats
| Philadelphia 76ers | Stat | Boston Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| 39-82 | FG | 37-93 |
| 11-28 | 3PT | 13-49 |
| 20-23 | FT | 13-16 |
| 44 | REB | 44 |
| 25 | AST | 19 |
| 0 | STL | 4 |
| 1 | BLK | 7 |
| 9 | TO | 5 |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George F· | 42 | 13 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +9 |
| Joel Embiid C· | 39 | 34 | 12-26 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +11 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. G· | 31 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +6 |
| Tyrese Maxey G· | 45 | 30 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +8 |
| VJ Edgecombe G· | 44 | 23 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +19 |
| Justin Edwards F | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 |
| Dominick Barlow F | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Andre Drummond C | 8 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
| Quentin Grimes G | 26 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Garza C· | 9 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -15 |
| Derrick White G· | 45 | 26 | 9-26 | 5-16 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -6 |
| Jaylen Brown G· | 40 | 33 | 12-27 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -16 |
| Ron Harper Jr. G· | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
| Baylor Scheierman G· | 22 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -9 |
| Sam Hauser F | 30 | 11 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 |
| Neemias Queta C | 33 | 17 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +9 |
| Payton Pritchard G | 39 | 13 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| Jordan Walsh G | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Hugo Gonzalez G | 13 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
- 4th Quarter · 4.9Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
- 4th Quarter · 4.9Payton Pritchard misses 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
- 4th Quarter · 8.8VJ Edgecombe makes free throw 2 of 2109–100
- 4th Quarter · 8.8VJ Edgecombe makes free throw 1 of 2108–100
- 4th Quarter · 8.8Sam Hauser personal take foul
- 4th Quarter · 10.2Payton Pritchard makes driving layup107–100
- 4th Quarter · 15.4Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 2107–98
- 4th Quarter · 15.4Neemias Queta enters the game for Baylor Scheierman
- 4th Quarter · 15.4Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 2106–98
- 4th Quarter · 15.4Baylor Scheierman personal take foul
Scoring Plays
- 4th Quarter · 8.8VJ Edgecombe makes free throw 2 of 2109–100
- 4th Quarter · 8.8VJ Edgecombe makes free throw 1 of 2108–100
- 4th Quarter · 10.2Payton Pritchard makes driving layup107–100
- 4th Quarter · 15.4Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 2107–98
- 4th Quarter · 15.4Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 2106–98
- 4th Quarter · 20.2Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 2105–98
- 4th Quarter · 20.2Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 2104–98
- 4th Quarter · 1:15Tyrese Maxey makes driving layup (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)103–98
- 4th Quarter · 2:00Tyrese Maxey makes two point shot101–98
- 4th Quarter · 3:49Neemias Queta makes free throw 2 of 299–98
- 4th Quarter · 3:49Neemias Queta makes free throw 1 of 299–97
- 4th Quarter · 4:45Joel Embiid makes free throw 2 of 299–96
- 4th Quarter · 4:45Joel Embiid makes free throw 1 of 298–96
- 4th Quarter · 5:02Jaylen Brown makes 12-foot pullup jump shot97–96
- 4th Quarter · 5:20Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 297–94
- 4th Quarter · 5:20Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 296–94
- 4th Quarter · 5:52Derrick White makes 25-foot three pointer (Sam Hauser assists)95–94
- 4th Quarter · 7:40Joel Embiid makes 26-foot three point jumper (Quentin Grimes assists)95–91
- 4th Quarter · 7:59Jaylen Brown makes free throw 1 of 192–91
- 4th Quarter · 7:59Jaylen Brown makes 19-foot pullup jump shot92–90
- 4th Quarter · 8:41Neemias Queta makes free throw 1 of 192–88
- 4th Quarter · 8:41Neemias Queta makes 5-foot hook shot (Derrick White assists)92–87
- 4th Quarter · 8:55Payton Pritchard makes technical free throw92–85
- 4th Quarter · 9:01Joel Embiid makes 18-foot jumper92–84
- 4th Quarter · 9:26Jaylen Brown makes layup (Derrick White assists)90–84