Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor8:00 PM ETPeacock
Result readPhiladelphia 76ers

Boston Celtics 93 · Philadelphia 76ers 106

Final
Boston Celtics59-30+7.3 net/g (SOS-adj +6.8) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia 76ers50-41-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeXfinity Mobile ArenaHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

The model leans Philadelphia 76ers because Boston Celtics owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Philadelphia 76ers has the recent-form edge. Three-point variance and free-throw rate move this number more than total field-goal percentage does.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Boston Celtics at 91%. Actual: Philadelphia 76ers by 13.

Players to Watch

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Game Leaders

Boston CelticsJaylen Brown18 pts
Philadelphia 76ersTyrese Maxey30 pts

Injury Report

Philadelphia 76ers

Joel EmbiidOut

Boston Celtics

Jayson TatumOut

On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏀 DunkJordan Walsh makes running dunk4th Quarter · 43.793–106
  2. ScoreDalano Banton makes 1-foot two point shot (Baylor Scheierman assists)4th Quarter · 59.891–106
  3. ScoreTyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 1:1489–106
  4. ScoreTyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 1:1489–105
  5. ScoreTyrese Maxey makes technical free throw4th Quarter · 1:1489–104
  6. 🏀 DunkKelly Oubre Jr. makes 2-foot driving dunk (Quentin Grimes assists)4th Quarter · 1:3589–103

Scoring by Period

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Boston Celtics2326143093
Philadelphia 76ers20382424106

Team Stats

Boston Celtics Stat Philadelphia 76ers
36-86FG39-89
12-413PT11-33
9-16FT17-19
46REB48
18AST22
7STL7
3BLK6
13TO10

Boston Celtics

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Jayson Tatum F·29176-132-63-51133000111-11
Sam Hauser F·2152-61-50-041000041-12
Neemias Queta C·2042-50-00-01101021103-14
Derrick White G·32113-83-62-211230103-25
Jaylen Brown G·28187-172-62-612500014-24
Dalano Banton F121-10-00-000000000+4
Nikola Vucevic C1421-50-20-021010110-5
Luka Garza C1494-51-20-021000202+6
Payton Pritchard G36146-161-81-135100030-6
Ron Harper Jr. G1031-31-20-030010121+10
Baylor Scheierman G1552-41-30-031120032+2
Jordan Walsh G1931-30-11-253001231+10

Philadelphia 76ers

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Paul George F·40238-175-92-243421042+11
Joel Embiid C·34196-181-56-7108110192+7
Kelly Oubre Jr. G·39146-111-31-291322363+23
Tyrese Maxey G·403011-223-55-525020111+15
VJ Edgecombe G·38145-111-63-383002083+18
Trendon Watford F100-00-00-000000000-4
Dalen Terry F100-00-00-000000000-4
Justin Edwards F1021-30-20-050200142-5
Andre Drummond C1321-10-00-070001162+10
Adem Bona C100-00-00-000000000-4
Kyle Lowry G100-00-00-000000000-4
Quentin Grimes G2221-60-30-032000120+2

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
  2. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
  3. 4th Quarter · 19.7shot clock turnover
  4. 4th Quarter · 19.776ers offensive team rebound
  5. 4th Quarter · 21.7Justin Edwards misses 33-foot three point pullup jump shot
  6. 4th Quarter · 43.7Jordan Walsh makes running dunk93–106
  7. 4th Quarter · 46.6Justin Edwards lost ball turnover (Baylor Scheierman steals)
  8. 4th Quarter · 59.8Dalano Banton makes 1-foot two point shot (Baylor Scheierman assists)91–106
  9. 4th Quarter · 1:13Kyle Lowry enters the game for Tyrese Maxey
  10. 4th Quarter · 1:13Justin Edwards personal take foul
  11. 4th Quarter · 1:14Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 289–106
  12. 4th Quarter · 1:14Adem Bona enters the game for VJ Edgecombe

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 43.7Jordan Walsh makes running dunk93–106
  2. 4th Quarter · 59.8Dalano Banton makes 1-foot two point shot (Baylor Scheierman assists)91–106
  3. 4th Quarter · 1:14Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 289–106
  4. 4th Quarter · 1:14Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 289–105
  5. 4th Quarter · 1:14Tyrese Maxey makes technical free throw89–104
  6. 4th Quarter · 1:35Kelly Oubre Jr. makes 2-foot driving dunk (Quentin Grimes assists)89–103
  7. 4th Quarter · 1:56Payton Pritchard makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot89–101
  8. 4th Quarter · 2:03VJ Edgecombe makes free throw 1 of 186–101
  9. 4th Quarter · 2:03VJ Edgecombe makes 2-foot two point shot86–100
  10. 4th Quarter · 2:18Baylor Scheierman makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot (Jordan Walsh assists)86–98
  11. 4th Quarter · 3:36Luka Garza makes two point shot83–98
  12. 4th Quarter · 4:10Jordan Walsh makes free throw 1 of 281–98
  13. 4th Quarter · 4:53Baylor Scheierman makes 2-foot two point shot (Payton Pritchard assists)80–98
  14. 4th Quarter · 5:10VJ Edgecombe makes 23-foot three point jumper (Joel Embiid assists)78–98
  15. 4th Quarter · 5:24Kelly Oubre Jr. makes free throw 1 of 278–95
  16. 4th Quarter · 5:46Joel Embiid makes free throw 2 of 278–94
  17. 4th Quarter · 5:46Joel Embiid makes free throw 1 of 278–93
  18. 4th Quarter · 6:05Payton Pritchard makes driving layup78–92
  19. 4th Quarter · 6:18Tyrese Maxey makes 2-foot two point shot76–92
  20. 4th Quarter · 6:47Joel Embiid makes 18-foot jumper (Tyrese Maxey assists)76–90
  21. 4th Quarter · 7:10Luka Garza makes dunk (Payton Pritchard assists)76–88
  22. 4th Quarter · 7:45Ron Harper Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Payton Pritchard assists)74–88
  23. 4th Quarter · 8:11Payton Pritchard makes technical free throw71–88
  24. 4th Quarter · 8:11Luka Garza makes tip shot70–88
  25. 4th Quarter · 10:09Luka Garza makes 27-foot three point jumper (Payton Pritchard assists)68–88

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