Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:00 PM ETPrime Video
Result readDetroit Pistons

Detroit Pistons 93 · Orlando Magic 79

Final
Detroit Pistons65-25+7.9 net/g (SOS-adj +7.2) · expected win rate 73% · last 10: 70%
Orlando Magic49-42+0.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeKia CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Detroit Pistons: Detroit Pistons’s scoring margin profile and Detroit Pistons’s recent stretch. Pace, bench minutes, and shooting variance are the main swing factors.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Detroit Pistons at 90%. Actual: Detroit Pistons by 14.

Players to Watch

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Game Leaders

Detroit PistonsCade Cunningham32 pts
Orlando MagicPaolo Banchero17 pts

Injury Report

Orlando Magic

Jonathan IsaacOutFranz WagnerOut

Detroit Pistons

Kevin HuerterOut

On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreTobias Harris makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)4th Quarter · 1:1293–79
  2. ScoreJalen Suggs makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 1:3491–79
  3. ScoreJalen Suggs makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 1:3491–78
  4. ScoreTobias Harris makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 2:0991–77
  5. ScoreTobias Harris makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 2:0990–77
  6. 🏀 DunkPaolo Banchero makes 4-foot driving dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)4th Quarter · 2:2489–77

Scoring by Period

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Detroit Pistons2612243193
Orlando Magic253511879

Team Stats

Detroit Pistons Stat Orlando Magic
32-80FG27-78
9-273PT9-36
20-26FT16-21
52REB38
16AST20
5STL6
8BLK4
10TO10

Detroit Pistons

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Tobias Harris F·38227-202-76-91000000104+14
Duncan Robinson F·36145-114-90-053200054+24
Jalen Duren C·3284-60-00-191200545+9
Cade Cunningham G·423210-232-410-12103441193+7
Ausar Thompson G·3742-70-00-0106014551+22
Paul Reed F1162-40-22-260103332+7
Isaiah Stewart F800-00-00-000000000-8
Javonte Green G1200-00-00-010000010-1
Caris LeVert G500-20-10-000000000-5
Daniss Jenkins G1972-71-42-213100012+1

Orlando Magic

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Jamal Cain F·2031-31-20-042111134-7
Paolo Banchero F·41174-200-99-12106120193-8
Wendell Carter Jr. C·3293-51-22-402202006-10
Desmond Bane G·38177-183-90-031020123-27
Jalen Suggs G·3871-101-64-477510163-14
Tristan da Silva F23104-92-40-060100150+10
Goga Bitadze C1363-50-00-041001311-3
Jevon Carter G221-10-00-010000010+1
Anthony Black G3483-71-41-131000032-12

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
  2. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
  3. 4th Quarter · 3.9shot clock turnover
  4. 4th Quarter · 27.3Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  5. 4th Quarter · 30.0Paolo Banchero misses 28-foot running jump shot
  6. 4th Quarter · 35.3Desmond Bane defensive rebound
  7. 4th Quarter · 36.6Daniss Jenkins misses driving layup
  8. 4th Quarter · 56.9Pistons defensive team rebound
  9. 4th Quarter · 58.1Tristan da Silva misses driving layup
  10. 4th Quarter · 1:12Tobias Harris makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)93–79
  11. 4th Quarter · 1:34Jalen Suggs makes free throw 2 of 291–79
  12. 4th Quarter · 1:34Jalen Suggs makes free throw 1 of 291–78

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 1:12Tobias Harris makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)93–79
  2. 4th Quarter · 1:34Jalen Suggs makes free throw 2 of 291–79
  3. 4th Quarter · 1:34Jalen Suggs makes free throw 1 of 291–78
  4. 4th Quarter · 2:09Tobias Harris makes free throw 2 of 291–77
  5. 4th Quarter · 2:09Tobias Harris makes free throw 1 of 290–77
  6. 4th Quarter · 2:24Paolo Banchero makes 4-foot driving dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)89–77
  7. 4th Quarter · 2:34Tobias Harris makes free throw 1 of 289–75
  8. 4th Quarter · 3:10Duncan Robinson makes 26-foot three pointer (Ausar Thompson assists)88–75
  9. 4th Quarter · 3:51Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 285–75
  10. 4th Quarter · 3:51Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 284–75
  11. 4th Quarter · 4:07Cade Cunningham makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ausar Thompson assists)83–75
  12. 4th Quarter · 4:24Wendell Carter Jr. makes free throw 1 of 280–75
  13. 4th Quarter · 4:52Paolo Banchero makes free throw 2 of 280–74
  14. 4th Quarter · 4:52Paolo Banchero makes free throw 1 of 280–73
  15. 4th Quarter · 5:14Tobias Harris makes 8-foot turnaround jump shot80–72
  16. 4th Quarter · 5:52Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 278–72
  17. 4th Quarter · 5:52Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 277–72
  18. 4th Quarter · 6:04Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 276–72
  19. 4th Quarter · 6:04Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 275–72
  20. 4th Quarter · 7:02Tobias Harris makes free throw 2 of 274–72
  21. 4th Quarter · 7:02Tobias Harris makes free throw 1 of 273–72
  22. 4th Quarter · 7:36Cade Cunningham makes running layup72–72
  23. 4th Quarter · 7:53Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 270–72
  24. 4th Quarter · 7:53Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 269–72
  25. 4th Quarter · 10:26Cade Cunningham makes 19-foot pullup jump shot68–72

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