ORL @ DET
Little Caesars Arena · Detroit, MI
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor3:30 PM ET
Result readDetroit Pistons
Orlando Magic 94 · Detroit Pistons 116
Final
Orlando Magic49-42+0.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Detroit Pistons66-26+7.8 net/g (SOS-adj +7.2) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeLittle Caesars ArenaHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts
Pick goes to Detroit Pistons on the back of Detroit Pistons’s margin work and Detroit Pistons’s last-ten momentum. Three-point variance and free-throw rate move this number more than total field-goal percentage does.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Detroit Pistons at 83%. Actual: Detroit Pistons by 22.
Pre-game pick: Detroit Pistons at 83%. Actual: Detroit Pistons by 22.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Orlando Magic
- Desmond Bane G · #3
- Wendell Carter Jr. C · #34
- Paolo Banchero F · #5
- Jalen Suggs G · #4
Detroit Pistons
- Duncan Robinson F · #55
- Ausar Thompson G · #9
- Jalen Duren C · #0
- Cade Cunningham G · #2
Game Leaders
Orlando MagicPaolo Banchero38 pts
Detroit PistonsCade Cunningham32 pts
Injury Report
Detroit Pistons
Kevin HuerterOut
Orlando Magic
Jonathan IsaacOutFranz WagnerOut
On The Court
A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreChaz Lanier makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)94–116
- ScorePaolo Banchero makes free throw 2 of 294–114
- ScorePaolo Banchero makes free throw 1 of 293–114
- ScoreDaniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 292–114
- ScoreDaniss Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 292–113
- ScoreJalen Duren makes free throw 2 of 292–112
Scoring by Period
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic | 22 | 27 | 15 | 30 | 94 |
| Detroit Pistons | 20 | 40 | 23 | 33 | 116 |
Team Stats
| Orlando Magic | Stat | Detroit Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| 31-75 | FG | 41-80 |
| 10-30 | 3PT | 16-33 |
| 22-30 | FT | 18-22 |
| 33 | REB | 41 |
| 18 | AST | 30 |
| 11 | STL | 9 |
| 7 | BLK | 6 |
| 13 | TO | 13 |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Cain F· | 24 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -16 |
| Paolo Banchero F· | 42 | 38 | 14-25 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -18 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. C· | 38 | 13 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -27 |
| Desmond Bane G· | 38 | 16 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 |
| Jalen Suggs G· | 36 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -28 |
| Moritz Wagner F | 10 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +5 |
| Tristan da Silva F | 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12 |
| Jevon Carter G | 11 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
| Anthony Black G | 33 | 11 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -11 |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris F· | 36 | 30 | 11-18 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +22 |
| Duncan Robinson F· | 36 | 10 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +15 |
| Jalen Duren C· | 37 | 15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +27 |
| Cade Cunningham G· | 39 | 32 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +29 |
| Ausar Thompson G· | 34 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +12 |
| Paul Reed F | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
| Tolu Smith F | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Stewart F | 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ronald Holland II F | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javonte Green G | 14 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3 |
| Marcus Sasser G | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chaz Lanier G | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
| Daniss Jenkins G | 29 | 16 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
- 4th Quarter · 16.7shot clock turnover
- 4th Quarter · 40.7Chaz Lanier makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)94–116
- 4th Quarter · 1:03Paolo Banchero makes free throw 2 of 294–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:03Chaz Lanier enters the game for Daniss Jenkins
- 4th Quarter · 1:03Paolo Banchero makes free throw 1 of 293–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:03Javonte Green shooting foul
- 4th Quarter · 1:13Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 292–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:13Tolu Smith enters the game for Duncan Robinson
- 4th Quarter · 1:13Ronald Holland II enters the game for Tobias Harris
- 4th Quarter · 1:13Marcus Sasser enters the game for Jalen Duren
Scoring Plays
- 4th Quarter · 40.7Chaz Lanier makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)94–116
- 4th Quarter · 1:03Paolo Banchero makes free throw 2 of 294–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:03Paolo Banchero makes free throw 1 of 293–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:13Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 292–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:13Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 292–113
- 4th Quarter · 1:33Jalen Duren makes free throw 2 of 292–112
- 4th Quarter · 1:33Jalen Duren makes free throw 1 of 292–111
- 4th Quarter · 1:49Wendell Carter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 292–110
- 4th Quarter · 2:06Jalen Duren makes 4-foot alley oop dunk (Tobias Harris assists)91–110
- 4th Quarter · 2:27Anthony Black makes free throw 2 of 291–108
- 4th Quarter · 2:44Anthony Black makes 18-foot pullup jump shot90–108
- 4th Quarter · 2:57Duncan Robinson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Cade Cunningham assists)88–108
- 4th Quarter · 3:18Wendell Carter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 288–105
- 4th Quarter · 3:18Wendell Carter Jr. makes free throw 1 of 287–105
- 4th Quarter · 3:23Tobias Harris makes 23-foot three point jumper (Daniss Jenkins assists)86–105
- 4th Quarter · 3:54Jalen Duren makes alley oop layup (Cade Cunningham assists)86–102
- 4th Quarter · 4:22Paolo Banchero makes tip shot86–100
- 4th Quarter · 4:51Anthony Black makes running layup (Paolo Banchero assists)84–100
- 4th Quarter · 5:15Wendell Carter Jr. makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (Paolo Banchero assists)82–100
- 4th Quarter · 5:26Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 279–100
- 4th Quarter · 5:26Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 279–99
- 4th Quarter · 6:10Desmond Bane makes 24-foot three point jumper (Paolo Banchero assists)79–98
- 4th Quarter · 6:36Ausar Thompson makes 3-foot two point shot (Cade Cunningham assists)76–98
- 4th Quarter · 7:32Anthony Black makes 1-foot driving dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)76–96
- 4th Quarter · 7:44Paolo Banchero makes running layup74–96