TOR @ CLE
Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:30 PM ETPeacock
Result readCleveland Cavaliers
Toronto Raptors 102 · Cleveland Cavaliers 114
Final
Toronto Raptors49-40+2.5 net/g (SOS-adj +2.5) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 50%
Cleveland Cavaliers57-35+3.7 net/g (SOS-adj +3.6) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeRocket ArenaHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts
The model leans Cleveland Cavaliers because Cleveland Cavaliers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Cleveland Cavaliers has the recent-form edge. Foul trouble for either side's anchor wing is the biggest single risk to the projection.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Toronto Raptors at 54%. Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers by 12.
Pre-game pick: Toronto Raptors at 54%. Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers by 12.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Toronto Raptors
- Scottie Barnes F · #4
- Brandon Ingram F · #3
- Immanuel Quickley G · #5
- Jakob Poeltl C · #19
Cleveland Cavaliers
- Donovan Mitchell G · #45
- Evan Mobley C · #4
- Jarrett Allen C · #31
- James Harden G · #1
Game Leaders
Toronto RaptorsScottie Barnes24 pts
Cleveland CavaliersJarrett Allen22 pts
Injury Report
Toronto Raptors
Brandon IngramOutImmanuel QuickleyOutChucky HepburnOut
On The Court
A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRJ Barrett makes driving layup102–114
- ScoreJa'Kobe Walter makes free throw flagrant 2 of 2100–114
- ScoreJa'Kobe Walter makes free throw flagrant 1 of 299–114
- ScoreDonovan Mitchell makes driving layup98–114
- 🎯 3-PointerMax Strus makes 27-foot three point jumper (Donovan Mitchell assists)98–112
- ScoreJakob Poeltl makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Jamal Shead assists)98–109
Scoring by Period
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 26 | 23 | 19 | 34 | 102 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 24 | 25 | 38 | 27 | 114 |
Team Stats
| Toronto Raptors | Stat | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| 38-87 | FG | 38-85 |
| 8-28 | 3PT | 11-39 |
| 18-26 | FT | 27-37 |
| 33 | REB | 60 |
| 25 | AST | 23 |
| 10 | STL | 8 |
| 4 | BLK | 5 |
| 14 | TO | 16 |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett F· | 43 | 23 | 9-25 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 |
| Scottie Barnes F· | 37 | 24 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Jakob Poeltl C· | 22 | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +9 |
| Jamal Shead G· | 36 | 14 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -13 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter G· | 38 | 13 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -15 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili F | 9 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis F | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamison Battle F | 14 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles F | 24 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -19 |
| Jonathan Mogbo F | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrett Temple G | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Lawson G | 16 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
| Gradey Dick G | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Wade F· | 21 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -6 |
| Jarrett Allen C· | 33 | 22 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | +13 |
| Evan Mobley C· | 27 | 13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4 |
| James Harden G· | 37 | 18 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 11-13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +5 |
| Donovan Mitchell G· | 35 | 22 | 9-20 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +8 |
| Dennis Schroder G | 14 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -11 |
| Max Strus G | 31 | 12 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +20 |
| Sam Merrill G | 23 | 13 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +16 |
| Jaylon Tyson G | 19 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +19 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
- 4th Quarter · 1.3shot clock turnover
- 4th Quarter · 25.3A.J. Lawson enters the game for Jamal Shead
- 4th Quarter · 25.3Trayce Jackson-Davis enters the game for Jakob Poeltl
- 4th Quarter · 25.3Gradey Dick enters the game for Ja'Kobe Walter
- 4th Quarter · 25.3Jonathan Mogbo enters the game for RJ Barrett
- 4th Quarter · 25.3Garrett Temple enters the game for Scottie Barnes
- 4th Quarter · 25.3Dennis Schroder enters the game for Jarrett Allen
- 4th Quarter · 25.3Cavaliers Full timeout
- 4th Quarter · 25.3RJ Barrett makes driving layup102–114
- 4th Quarter · 31.0Ja'Kobe Walter makes free throw flagrant 2 of 2100–114
Scoring Plays
- 4th Quarter · 25.3RJ Barrett makes driving layup102–114
- 4th Quarter · 31.0Ja'Kobe Walter makes free throw flagrant 2 of 2100–114
- 4th Quarter · 31.0Ja'Kobe Walter makes free throw flagrant 1 of 299–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:22Donovan Mitchell makes driving layup98–114
- 4th Quarter · 1:40Max Strus makes 27-foot three point jumper (Donovan Mitchell assists)98–112
- 4th Quarter · 1:58Jakob Poeltl makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Jamal Shead assists)98–109
- 4th Quarter · 2:08Donovan Mitchell makes 11-foot fade away jump shot96–109
- 4th Quarter · 2:31Ja'Kobe Walter makes 25-foot three point jumper (RJ Barrett assists)96–107
- 4th Quarter · 2:40Evan Mobley makes free throw 1 of 293–107
- 4th Quarter · 3:00Jakob Poeltl makes 2-foot dunk (RJ Barrett assists)93–106
- 4th Quarter · 3:15James Harden makes free throw 3 of 391–106
- 4th Quarter · 3:15James Harden makes free throw 2 of 391–105
- 4th Quarter · 3:15James Harden makes free throw 1 of 391–104
- 4th Quarter · 3:35RJ Barrett makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jamal Shead assists)91–103
- 4th Quarter · 4:10RJ Barrett makes free throw 2 of 288–103
- 4th Quarter · 4:10RJ Barrett makes free throw 1 of 287–103
- 4th Quarter · 4:21Evan Mobley makes driving dunk86–103
- 4th Quarter · 4:34Jakob Poeltl makes layup (Jamal Shead assists)86–101
- 4th Quarter · 4:57Max Strus makes 1-foot running dunk (Evan Mobley assists)84–101
- 4th Quarter · 5:52RJ Barrett makes running layup84–99
- 4th Quarter · 6:29Jakob Poeltl makes 1-foot layup (RJ Barrett assists)82–99
- 4th Quarter · 6:45James Harden makes free throw 2 of 280–99
- 4th Quarter · 7:16Jarrett Allen makes free throw 1 of 280–98
- 4th Quarter · 7:40Scottie Barnes makes layup (Collin Murray-Boyles assists)80–97
- 4th Quarter · 7:58Sam Merrill makes running layup (Max Strus assists)78–97