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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:00 PM ETPeacock
Result readDetroit Pistons

Cleveland Cavaliers 101 · Detroit Pistons 111

Final
Cleveland Cavaliers57-35+3.7 net/g (SOS-adj +3.6) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 50%
Detroit Pistons66-26+7.8 net/g (SOS-adj +7.2) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeLittle Caesars ArenaHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Detroit Pistons: Detroit Pistons’s scoring margin profile and Detroit Pistons’s recent stretch. Whichever team wins the second-quarter bench stretch usually wins the game outright.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Detroit Pistons at 72%. Actual: Detroit Pistons by 10.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Game Leaders

Cleveland CavaliersDonovan Mitchell23 pts
Detroit PistonsCade Cunningham23 pts

Injury Report

Detroit Pistons

Kevin HuerterOut
On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏀 DunkDaniss Jenkins makes running dunk4th Quarter · 17.1101–111
  2. ScoreDaniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 26.0101–109
  3. ScoreDaniss Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 26.0101–108
  4. ScoreDonovan Mitchell makes 30-foot fade away jump shot (Dean Wade assists)4th Quarter · 32.1101–107
  5. ScoreTobias Harris makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 38.498–107
  6. ScoreTobias Harris makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 38.498–106

Scoring by Period

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Cleveland Cavaliers21253025101
Detroit Pistons37222428111

Team Stats

Cleveland Cavaliers Stat Detroit Pistons
36-80FG37-84
14-383PT10-26
15-16FT27-35
41REB45
23AST23
7STL12
5BLK3
19TO11

Cleveland Cavaliers

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Dean Wade F·2852-31-20-031010121-4
Jarrett Allen C·1821-40-00-031101124+4
Evan Mobley C·35146-112-50-095102363-18
James Harden G·35226-151-79-987712263-7
Donovan Mitchell G·35239-194-101-242310133-7
Thomas Bryant C1041-40-22-200010001-3
Dennis Schroder G1693-61-12-2134001010
Max Strus G28197-134-81-152110143-9
Sam Merrill G700-00-00-001100000-10
Jaylon Tyson G1800-10-00-051100052+9
Keon Ellis G1131-41-30-030020121-5

Detroit Pistons

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Tobias Harris F·39206-141-57-881220171+6
Duncan Robinson F·28197-125-80-102020004+6
Jalen Duren C·35114-110-03-4124102750+17
Cade Cunningham G·42236-192-59-1137420032+12
Ausar Thompson G·33114-60-03-485111444-9
Isaiah Stewart F1362-20-02-231200122-7
Ronald Holland II F1062-31-21-310010012+8
Javonte Green G331-31-30-010000010-4
Caris LeVert G900-10-00-020000021+13
Daniss Jenkins G29125-130-32-273140342+8

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
  2. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
  3. 4th Quarter · 5.0Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  4. 4th Quarter · 7.8James Harden misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
  5. 4th Quarter · 17.1Daniss Jenkins makes running dunk101–111
  6. 4th Quarter · 19.4Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
  7. 4th Quarter · 24.1Donovan Mitchell misses 23-foot three point shot
  8. 4th Quarter · 26.0Cavaliers Full timeout
  9. 4th Quarter · 26.0Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 2101–109
  10. 4th Quarter · 26.0Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 2101–108
  11. 4th Quarter · 26.0James Harden personal foul
  12. 4th Quarter · 32.1Donovan Mitchell makes 30-foot fade away jump shot (Dean Wade assists)101–107

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 17.1Daniss Jenkins makes running dunk101–111
  2. 4th Quarter · 26.0Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 2101–109
  3. 4th Quarter · 26.0Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 1 of 2101–108
  4. 4th Quarter · 32.1Donovan Mitchell makes 30-foot fade away jump shot (Dean Wade assists)101–107
  5. 4th Quarter · 38.4Tobias Harris makes free throw 2 of 298–107
  6. 4th Quarter · 38.4Tobias Harris makes free throw 1 of 298–106
  7. 4th Quarter · 1:46James Harden makes 8-foot two point shot98–105
  8. 4th Quarter · 2:04Tobias Harris makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot96–105
  9. 4th Quarter · 2:45Cade Cunningham makes 8-foot pullup jump shot96–103
  10. 4th Quarter · 3:07Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 296–101
  11. 4th Quarter · 3:23Daniss Jenkins makes 17-foot pullup jump shot95–101
  12. 4th Quarter · 3:40James Harden makes 3-foot driving floating jump shot95–99
  13. 4th Quarter · 3:54Jalen Duren makes running dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)93–99
  14. 4th Quarter · 4:13Jalen Duren makes 1-foot driving dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)93–97
  15. 4th Quarter · 4:50Jalen Duren makes dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)93–95
  16. 4th Quarter · 5:28James Harden makes free throw 3 of 393–93
  17. 4th Quarter · 5:28James Harden makes free throw 2 of 392–93
  18. 4th Quarter · 5:28James Harden makes free throw 1 of 391–93
  19. 4th Quarter · 6:00James Harden makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot90–93
  20. 4th Quarter · 6:32James Harden makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot88–93
  21. 4th Quarter · 7:23James Harden makes free throw 2 of 286–93
  22. 4th Quarter · 7:23James Harden makes free throw 1 of 285–93
  23. 4th Quarter · 8:18Donovan Mitchell makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot84–93
  24. 4th Quarter · 9:15Duncan Robinson makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)82–93
  25. 4th Quarter · 9:48Duncan Robinson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Jalen Duren assists)82–91

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