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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:00 PM ETPrime Video13715732
Result readDetroit Pistons

Cleveland Cavaliers 97 · Detroit Pistons 107

Final
Cleveland Cavaliers58-35+3.7 net/g (SOS-adj +3.7) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 50%
Detroit Pistons66-27+7.6 net/g (SOS-adj +7.0) · expected win rate 72% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeLittle Caesars ArenaHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

Pick goes to Detroit Pistons on the back of Detroit Pistons’s margin work and Detroit Pistons’s last-ten momentum. Foul trouble for either side's anchor wing is the biggest single risk to the projection.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Detroit Pistons at 67%. Actual: Detroit Pistons by 10.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Game Leaders

Cleveland CavaliersDonovan Mitchell31 pts
Detroit PistonsCade Cunningham25 pts

Injury Report

Detroit Pistons

Caris LeVertDay-To-DayDuncan RobinsonDay-To-DayKevin HuerterOut
On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Detroit Pistons beat Cleveland Cavaliers 107-97.
  • Top line: Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) — 25 PTS, 3 REB, 10 AST, 1 STL.
  • Support line: Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) — 31 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST, 2 STL.
  • Support line: Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) — 21 PTS, 7 REB, 0 AST, 2 STL.

Highlights

  1. ScoreCade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 22.797–107
  2. ScoreCade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 22.797–106
  3. ScoreJalen Duren makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 26.897–105
  4. ScoreJalen Duren makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 26.897–104
  5. ScoreDonovan Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 1:1697–103
  6. ScoreDonovan Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 1:1696–103

Scoring by Period

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Cleveland Cavaliers1825322297
Detroit Pistons25292528107

Team Stats

Cleveland Cavaliers Stat Detroit Pistons
34-81FG39-80
7-323PT14-28
22-27FT15-20
36REB42
20AST21
7STL9
6BLK5
11TO10

Cleveland Cavaliers

· Starter DNP did not play

Player Stats 1#

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Starters
Dean Wade F·2383-62-40-050000231-4
Jarrett Allen C·31227-90-08-1073111345-6
Evan Mobley C·3694-101-40-014233013-6
James Harden G·37103-130-44-463410063-15
Donovan Mitchell G·373111-242-97-963220152-2
Bench
Dennis Schroder G2041-50-22-235200122-4
Max Strus G2831-61-60-031002032-9
Jaylon Tyson G2273-70-21-251000231-3
Keon Ellis G631-11-10-000000000-1
Larry Nance Jr. FDNP
Nae'Qwan Tomlin FDNP
Thomas Bryant CDNP
Sam Merrill GDNP
Craig Porter Jr. GDNP
Tyrese Proctor GDNP

Detroit Pistons

· Starter DNP did not play

Player Stats 1#

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Starters
Tobias Harris F·37219-162-31-270122162+8
Duncan Robinson F·37176-125-90-033130031+5
Jalen Duren C·3382-70-04-6101200283+6
Cade Cunningham G·42257-143-68-8310512033+13
Ausar Thompson G·24105-80-00-272020345+4
Bench
Isaiah Stewart F1521-10-00-020000205+4
Ronald Holland II F920-30-22-220011112+2
Javonte Green G400-00-00-0000000000
Caris LeVert G1383-52-30-021000110-1
Daniss Jenkins G26146-142-50-064100241+9
Paul Reed FDNP
Tolu Smith FDNP
Marcus Sasser GDNP
Chaz Lanier GDNP

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
  2. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
  3. 4th Quarter · 12.2Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  4. 4th Quarter · 14.0Evan Mobley misses 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
  5. 4th Quarter · 22.7Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 297–107
  6. 4th Quarter · 22.7Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 297–106
  7. 4th Quarter · 22.7Donovan Mitchell loose ball foul
  8. 4th Quarter · 22.7Pistons defensive team rebound
  9. 4th Quarter · 24.0Max Strus misses 30-foot three point jumper
  10. 4th Quarter · 26.8Dean Wade enters the game for Jarrett Allen
  11. 4th Quarter · 26.8Isaiah Stewart enters the game for Jalen Duren
  12. 4th Quarter · 26.8Cavaliers Full timeout

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 22.7Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 297–107
  2. 4th Quarter · 22.7Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 297–106
  3. 4th Quarter · 26.8Jalen Duren makes free throw 2 of 297–105
  4. 4th Quarter · 26.8Jalen Duren makes free throw 1 of 297–104
  5. 4th Quarter · 1:16Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 297–103
  6. 4th Quarter · 1:16Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 296–103
  7. 4th Quarter · 1:22Ausar Thompson makes tip shot95–103
  8. 4th Quarter · 1:46Jarrett Allen makes layup95–101
  9. 4th Quarter · 1:54Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 193–101
  10. 4th Quarter · 2:12Cade Cunningham makes 27-foot three point step back jumpshot92–101
  11. 4th Quarter · 3:01Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 292–98
  12. 4th Quarter · 3:13Tobias Harris makes 8-foot fade away jump shot91–98
  13. 4th Quarter · 3:53Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 291–96
  14. 4th Quarter · 3:53Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 291–95
  15. 4th Quarter · 4:59Jarrett Allen makes 4-foot layup (James Harden assists)91–94
  16. 4th Quarter · 5:15Cade Cunningham makes 11-foot fade away jump shot89–94
  17. 4th Quarter · 5:34Jarrett Allen makes 9-foot floating jump shot (Max Strus assists)89–92
  18. 4th Quarter · 5:47Cade Cunningham makes 26-foot three pointer87–92
  19. 4th Quarter · 6:06Dean Wade makes tip shot87–89
  20. 4th Quarter · 6:54Jarrett Allen makes free throw 2 of 285–89
  21. 4th Quarter · 6:54Jarrett Allen makes free throw 1 of 284–89
  22. 4th Quarter · 7:21Duncan Robinson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ausar Thompson assists)83–89
  23. 4th Quarter · 8:22Tobias Harris makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot83–86
  24. 4th Quarter · 9:13Donovan Mitchell makes 5-foot running pullup jump shot83–84
  25. 4th Quarter · 9:40Duncan Robinson makes 26-foot running jump shot (Ausar Thompson assists)81–84

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