NE @ CHI

Joshua Silvia

June 12, 2026

30–44 minutes

UPCOMING NFL · Oct 22, 5:15 PM PDT · 10/22 – 8:15 PM EDT

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears

Soldier Field · Chicago, IL

New England Patriots0

Chicago Bears0

Fast path

Pregame GameCast

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Key Plays

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Box Score

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Game Read

A matchup read built from team form, venue, rest, and availability context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM CT

Projected leanNew England Patriots

New England Patriots 28 · Chicago Bears 19

81%confidence

New England Patriots17-4Team form and scoring profile included

Chicago Bears12-7Team form and scoring profile included

Home VenueSoldier FieldVenue context included in the matchup read

New England Patriots gets the nod thanks to New England Patriots’s margin advantage, with New England Patriots’s recent run providing the second tip. Explosive plays, turnovers, and red-zone chances matter most in the small sample.

Three things to watch

Form gap. New England Patriots is carrying the cleaner recent sample than Chicago Bears. Streaky teams can carry one more game than the standings imply.
Net efficiency. New England Patriots has the cleaner scoring profile; Chicago Bears needs the game state to get messier.
Scoring margin. New England Patriots at +8.7 per game vs. Chicago Bears at +1.4 — a 7.2-point gap on the season.

Rafty checks team form, venue, schedule rhythm, and matchup context, then refreshes as game pages republish. Exact weighting stays private.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

Rafty

Current lean New England Patriots

81% Chicago Bears win probability 19%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

Why This Pick?

New England Patriots: Team formStrong
Chicago Bears: Home venueModerate

Scenario presets

Home venue edge+2.5 pts

Slide to test a quieter or louder home setting.

Recent-form swing+0.0 pts

Negative helps the away team; positive helps the home team.

Starter context

Probable pitchers or goalies when available.

Relief context

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For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

Key Players to Watch