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InTheRafters.com

DAL @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:30 PM CT🥅 Jake Oettinger vs Jesper WallstedtHBO MaxVictory+ Sports Network
Result readMinnesota Wild

Dallas Stars 2 · Minnesota Wild 5

Final
Dallas Stars52-36+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.5) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 60%
Minnesota Wild50-40+0.4 net/g (SOS-adj +0.4) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGrand Casino ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Minnesota Wild: Dallas Stars’s scoring margin profile and Dallas Stars’s recent stretch. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Dallas Stars at 67%. Actual: Minnesota Wild by 3.

Players to Watch

Dallas Stars

Minnesota Wild

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Game Leaders

Dallas StarsMavrik Bourque1
Minnesota WildMatt Boldy2

Injury Report

Minnesota Wild

Jonas BrodinDay-To-DayJoel Eriksson EkDay-To-DayZach BogosianDay-To-DayCharlie StramelOut

Dallas Stars

Roope HintzOutTyler SeguinInjured ReserveArttu HyryOutNils LundkvistOut

On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Dallas Stars
JR J. Robertson LW · #21 WJ Wyatt Johnston C · #53 MR Mikko Rantanen RW · #96 MH Miro Heiskanen LD · #4 EL Esa Lindell RD · #23 JO Jake Oettinger G · #29
Minnesota Wild
KK K. Kaprizov LW · #97 JE J. Ek C · #14 VT V. Tarasenko RW · #91 BF Brock Faber LD · #7 JS Jared Spurgeon RD · #46 FG F. Gustavsson G · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalMatt Boldy Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: none3rd · 19:452–5
  2. 🥅 GoalMatt Boldy Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: none3rd · 18:292–4
  3. 🥅 GoalQuinn Hughes Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Faber (3), Mats Zuccarello (4)3rd · 10:382–3
  4. 🥅 GoalVladimir Tarasenko Goal (1) Backhand, assists: Quinn Hughes (6)2nd · 17:022–2
  5. 🥅 GoalMavrik Bourque Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Michael Bunting (1), Ilya Lyubushkin (1)2nd · 16:082–1
  6. 🥅 GoalWyatt Johnston Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Mikko Rantanen (6), Matt Duchene (7)2nd · 7:011–1

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Dallas Stars0202
Minnesota Wild1135

Team Stats

Dallas Stars Stat Minnesota Wild
1PPG0
6PIM4
25FO Won35
34Hits32
3Takeaways4

Dallas Stars

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Oskar Back C201-111:520:003:158:3718000100000.0000
Jamie Benn LW020-211:460:000:0011:4616000010000.0000
Colin Blackwell C020-17:120:002:005:1213000100010.0000
Mavrik Bourque C050015:090:000:0015:09201105004357.1100
Michael Bunting LW02019:110:000:009:1115001120000.0000
Matt Duchene C000-319:032:260:0016:37200210003442.9212
Radek Faksa C020-17:080:001:375:31150000004357.1012
Justin Hryckowian C260015:350:021:3114:022100040051033.3000
Wyatt Johnston C100-123:262:240:0021:022314032061037.5000
Mikko Rantanen RW330-321:462:240:0019:22220110103442.9112
Jason Robertson LW100-224:452:260:0022:1924050200000.0000
Sam Steel C001-213:350:002:1611:1920000000000.0100
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Lian Bichsel D130013:550:001:2512:3018000110000.0000
Thomas Harley D200-325:250:021:5723:2623000210000.0100
Miro Heiskanen D000-428:012:263:2322:1225020220000.0000
Esa Lindell D100022:140:003:5618:1827000000000.0100
Ilya Lyubushkin D131014:320:000:0014:3219001110000.0100
Alexander Petrovic D060011:550:000:0011:5516000000000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Jake Oettinger G3190016.842124057:3000

Minnesota Wild

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Matt Boldy LW210224:084:320:3419:022426050010100.0000
Joel Eriksson Ek C120220:002:420:3116:472103030015962.5000
Nick Foligno LW250110:220:001:238:5918000100020.0000
Marcus Foligno LW160111:150:000:3110:4417011010000.0000
Ryan Hartman RW001018:322:380:0015:54220100508561.5112
Marcus Johansson LW020015:170:480:0014:2919010010000.0000
Kirill Kaprizov LW142222:114:250:0017:4623020110000.0400
Michael McCarron C120111:410:001:0410:371802031010471.4000
Nico Sturm C04018:590:000:508:09150010001420.0000
Vladimir Tarasenko RW010111:010:550:0010:0617110220010.0000
Yakov Trenin C031110:180:000:0010:1816000000000.0112
Mats Zuccarello RW000018:054:060:0013:5919011210000.0000
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Zach Bogosian D200011:370:001:0010:3719000000000.0000
Brock Faber D110329:530:411:5727:1534031010000.0200
Quinn Hughes D200228:554:390:0124:1530221300000.0100
Jake Middleton D110219:260:001:2318:0329000100000.0000
Jeff Petry D00007:130:000:007:1313000010000.0000
Jared Spurgeon D000118:541:140:3017:1030000010000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Jesper Wallstedt G2230021.913200159:0700

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:45Radek Faksa faceoff won against Nick Foligno
  4. 3rd · 19:45Matt Boldy Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: none2–5
  5. 3rd · 19:36Mavrik Bourque Tip-In saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  6. 3rd · 19:33Thomas Harley Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  7. 3rd · 19:05Matt Boldy shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  8. 3rd · 18:46Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Mavrik Bourque
  9. 3rd · 18:46Icing
  10. 3rd · 18:29Michael McCarron faceoff won against Justin Hryckowian
  11. 3rd · 18:29Matt Boldy Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: none2–4
  12. 3rd · 18:00Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by Jason Robertson

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 19:45Matt Boldy Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: none2–5
  2. 3rd · 18:29Matt Boldy Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: none2–4
  3. 3rd · 10:38Quinn Hughes Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Faber (3), Mats Zuccarello (4)2–3
  4. 2nd · 17:02Vladimir Tarasenko Goal (1) Backhand, assists: Quinn Hughes (6)2–2
  5. 2nd · 16:08Mavrik Bourque Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Michael Bunting (1), Ilya Lyubushkin (1)2–1
  6. 2nd · 7:01Wyatt Johnston Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Mikko Rantanen (6), Matt Duchene (7)1–1
  7. 1st · 6:23Quinn Hughes Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Marcus Foligno (1), Nico Sturm (2)0–1

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