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In The Rafters

EDM @ ANA

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:00 PM PT🥅 Connor Ingram vs Lukas DostalHBO MaxVictory+ Sports Network
Result readAnaheim Ducks

Edmonton Oilers 2 · Anaheim Ducks 5

Final
Edmonton Oilers43-45+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Anaheim Ducks48-42-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeHonda CenterHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

The model leans Anaheim Ducks because Edmonton Oilers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Anaheim Ducks has the recent-form edge. Shot quality, special teams, and goaltending variance keep the ceiling capped.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Edmonton Oilers at 55%. Actual: Anaheim Ducks by 3.

Players to Watch

Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Game Leaders

Edmonton OilersVasily Podkolzin1
Anaheim DucksLeo Carlsson1

Injury Report

Anaheim Ducks

Radko GudasDay-To-Day

Edmonton Oilers

Adam HenriqueOutMax JonesOut

On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Edmonton Oilers
ZH Zach Hyman LW · #18 CM Connor McDavid C · #97 VP V. Podkolzin RW · #92 EB Evan Bouchard LD · #2 ME Mattias Ekholm RD · #14 CI Connor Ingram G · #39
Anaheim Ducks
CG C. Gauthier LW · #61 LC Leo Carlsson C · #91 BS B. Sennecke RW · #45 JL J. LaCombe LD · #2 JT Jacob Trouba RD · #65 LD Lukas Dostal G · #1

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalLeo Carlsson Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Chris Kreider (4), Troy Terry (5)3rd · 17:262–5
  2. 🥅 GoalVasily Podkolzin Goal (3) Deflected, assists: Kasperi Kapanen (2), Leon Draisaitl (7)3rd · 1:132–4
  3. 🥅 GoalTroy Terry Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Leo Carlsson (5), Chris Kreider (3)2nd · 19:131–4
  4. 🥅 GoalCutter Gauthier Goal (4) Slap Shot, assists: Jackson LaCombe (8), Mason McTavish (3)1st · 16:501–3
  5. 🥅 GoalConnor Murphy Goal (2) Backhand, assists: Josh Samanski (1), Colton Dach (1)1st · 15:141–2
  6. 🥅 GoalChris Kreider Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Leo Carlsson (4), Troy Terry (4)1st · 13:430–2

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Edmonton Oilers1012
Anaheim Ducks3115

Team Stats

Edmonton Oilers Stat Anaheim Ducks
0PPG1
4PIM0
28FO Won32
27Hits33
3Takeaways6

Edmonton Oilers

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Colton Dach C12016:210:000:006:2114001100000.0000
Jason Dickinson C120011:070:001:169:51190200003442.9100
Leon Draisaitl C001-124:010:000:0623:55280311408947.1200
Zach Hyman LW040-320:510:000:0020:5126020220000.0100
Kasperi Kapanen RW130019:490:001:0518:4425041110000.0000
Curtis Lazar C01014:280:000:004:28100000001150.0000
Connor McDavid C010-324:490:001:2223:27270103202625.0200
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C101-215:570:000:0015:57250202107846.7112
Vasily Podkolzin RW050-118:460:000:0018:4628130300000.0100
Jack Roslovic C110014:250:000:0014:25210001206460.0100
Josh Samanski C00015:140:000:314:431101101010100.0100
Matt Savoie C000014:260:002:0612:2022000210000.0000
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Evan Bouchard D200-324:110:000:0824:0328010110000.0200
Mattias Ekholm D020-116:220:000:0716:1523000110000.0200
Ty Emberson D020013:090:000:5312:1621000010000.0000
Connor Murphy D120120:330:002:1118:2229120400000.0000
Darnell Nurse D121125:490:002:1223:3728000210000.0200
Jake Walman D000-219:580:000:5519:0327000300000.0000
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Connor Ingram G4300026.867242056:3100

Anaheim Ducks

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Leo Carlsson C121317:351:130:0016:222513221031121.4000
Cutter Gauthier LW010114:391:550:0012:441814151010100.0000
Mikael Granlund C210-115:481:090:0014:39250200408561.5000
Alex Killorn LW102-117:431:550:0015:4826030120000.0100
Chris Kreider LW020316:151:100:0015:0525112210000.0100
Mason McTavish C030110:361:550:008:411401110050100.0000
Ryan Poehling C310015:320:000:0015:32201403202918.2000
Beckett Sennecke RW000-115:081:550:0013:1322010200000.0000
Troy Terry RW110318:081:110:0016:5725132510000.0000
Jeffrey Viel LW071-115:250:070:0015:1826020110010.0400
Tim Washe C060013:170:050:0013:122400000013286.7000
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
John Carlson D200-124:290:480:0023:4133001200000.0200
Drew Helleson D01009:070:000:009:0713000010000.0000
Tyson Hinds D020010:010:000:0010:0114000000000.0000
Jackson LaCombe D200327:052:250:0024:4033011300000.0200
Pavel Mintyukov D420-121:520:000:0021:5232000200000.0100
Ian Moore D011-112:450:080:0012:3725000120000.0000
Jacob Trouba D131324:350:090:0024:2629010100000.0000
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Lukas Dostal G2270025.926250060:0000

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:18Ryan Poehling Wrist Shot Wide Right
  4. 3rd · 18:49Tim Washe faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl
  5. 3rd · 18:49Goalie Stopped
  6. 3rd · 18:48Evan Bouchard Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal
  7. 3rd · 18:45Giveaway by Jackson LaCombe
  8. 3rd · 18:37Giveaway by Alex Killorn
  9. 3rd · 18:28Connor McDavid shot blocked by Mikael Granlund
  10. 3rd · 18:21Leon Draisaitl Slap Shot Wide Left
  11. 3rd · 18:15Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Alex Killorn
  12. 3rd · 18:12Connor McDavid faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 17:26Leo Carlsson Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Chris Kreider (4), Troy Terry (5)2–5
  2. 3rd · 1:13Vasily Podkolzin Goal (3) Deflected, assists: Kasperi Kapanen (2), Leon Draisaitl (7)2–4
  3. 2nd · 19:13Troy Terry Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Leo Carlsson (5), Chris Kreider (3)1–4
  4. 1st · 16:50Cutter Gauthier Goal (4) Slap Shot, assists: Jackson LaCombe (8), Mason McTavish (3)1–3
  5. 1st · 15:14Connor Murphy Goal (2) Backhand, assists: Josh Samanski (1), Colton Dach (1)1–2
  6. 1st · 13:43Chris Kreider Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Leo Carlsson (4), Troy Terry (4)0–2
  7. 1st · 9:56Ryan Poehling Goal (4) Deflected, assists: John Carlson (5), Cutter Gauthier (3)0–1

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