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InTheRafters.com

BUF @ BOS

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:30 PM ET🥅 Alex Lyon vs Jeremy Swayman
Result readBuffalo Sabres

Buffalo Sabres 4 · Boston Bruins 1

Final
Buffalo Sabres55-34+0.6 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 60% · last 10: 70%
Boston Bruins47-41+0.2 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 53% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeTD GardenHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Pick goes to Buffalo Sabres on the back of Buffalo Sabres’s margin work and Buffalo Sabres’s last-ten momentum. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Buffalo Sabres at 85%. Actual: Buffalo Sabres by 3.

Players to Watch

Buffalo Sabres

Boston Bruins

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Game Leaders

Buffalo SabresZach Benson1
Boston BruinsDavid Pastrnak1

Injury Report

Boston Bruins

Viktor ArvidssonOutNikita ZadorovOut

Buffalo Sabres

Sam CarrickOutNoah OstlundOut

On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Buffalo Sabres
ZB Zach Benson LW · #6 TT Tage Thompson C · #72 AT Alex Tuch RW · #89 RD Rasmus Dahlin LD · #26 BB Bowen Byram RD · #4 AL Alex Lyon G · #34
Boston Bruins
VA V. Arvidsson LW · #71 MG Morgan Geekie C · #39 DP David Pastrnak RW · #88 CM Charlie McAvoy LD · #73 NZ Nikita Zadorov RD · #91 JS Jeremy Swayman G · #1

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalJosh Norris Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Rasmus Dahlin (3), Zach Benson (1)3rd · 16:404–1
  2. 🥅 GoalZach Benson Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Josh Doan (2)3rd · 5:583–1
  3. 🥅 GoalDavid Pastrnak Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Pavel Zacha (2), Hampus Lindholm (2)2nd · 1:542–1
  4. 🥅 GoalMattias Samuelsson Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Peyton Krebs (4), Tage Thompson (5)1st · 12:262–0
  5. 🥅 GoalAlex Tuch Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Rasmus Dahlin (2), Tage Thompson (4)1st · 3:251–0

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Buffalo Sabres2024
Boston Bruins0101

Team Stats

Buffalo Sabres Stat Boston Bruins
0PPG0
2PIM21
26FO Won33
27Hits43
3Takeaways3

Buffalo Sabres

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Zach Benson LW110216:472:120:0014:3525121110010.0112
Josh Doan RW032215:512:360:0013:1525011510000.0000
Jordan Greenway LW020010:580:100:0010:4818000000000.0200
Tyson Kozak C210011:010:090:0010:52180000005645.5000
Peyton Krebs C310216:580:370:0016:212402101030100.0200
Beck Malenstyn LW050010:360:040:0010:3218010100000.0100
Ryan McLeod C000-114:384:060:0010:32220001005741.7100
Josh Norris C050216:452:410:0014:04231102206650.0100
Jack Quinn RW000-113:522:290:0011:2321000000000.0100
Tage Thompson C120221:544:350:0017:192702253051229.4200
Alex Tuch RW220220:363:170:0017:192614021020100.0000
Jason Zucker LW210-115:254:500:0010:3521000120010.0200
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Bowen Byram D300124:054:080:0019:5730030110000.0200
Rasmus Dahlin D211223:485:340:0018:1432012500000.0200
Michael Kesselring D00004:250:000:004:255000000000.0000
Owen Power D000021:240:000:0021:2427000010000.0000
Mattias Samuelsson D220222:360:070:0022:2930120200000.0100
Conor Timmins D110118:390:000:0018:3928000020000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Alex Lyon G1260025.962230259:4200

Boston Bruins

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Michael Eyssimont C040011:040:000:0011:0420000200010.0100
Morgan Geekie C161-118:570:000:0018:5725020400010.0112
Tanner Jeannot LW020010:480:002:338:151401010010100.0000
Mark Kastelic C01109:400:003:166:24130000101150.0100
Marat Khusnutdinov C050-215:150:002:4212:3323000110010.0000
Sean Kuraly C00009:400:003:116:29130100004266.7200
Elias Lindholm C040-117:220:001:0116:21270202207653.8000
Fraser Minten C040014:590:001:4813:11250001006554.5000
Casey Mittelstadt C130-117:240:000:0017:2426000110000.0100
David Pastrnak RW010-318:350:000:0018:3525130530000.0200
Alex Steeves C030012:460:000:0012:4622000200000.0000
Pavel Zacha C001-318:210:000:2217:592501114014960.9000
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Jonathan Aspirot D000-115:000:001:0613:5421000100000.0012
Henri Jokiharju D110114:120:000:2113:5123000200000.0100
Hampus Lindholm D220023:130:003:2719:4629001000000.0112
Charlie McAvoy D060-325:090:002:3422:3531000210000.02215
Andrew Peeke D300-120:040:004:0216:0227000100000.0200
Nikita Zadorov D110-121:520:003:4118:1128000000000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Jeremy Swayman G3250022.880166058:0800

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:33Giveaway by Andrew Peeke
  4. 3rd · 18:29Tanner Jeannot faceoff won against Ryan McLeod
  5. 3rd · 18:29Charlie McAvoy Game Misconduct
  6. 3rd · 18:29Charlie McAvoy Slashing against Zach Benson
  7. 3rd · 18:29Zach Benson Tripping against Charlie McAvoy
  8. 3rd · 18:29Icing
  9. 3rd · 18:25Conor Timmins Wrist Shot Wide Right
  10. 3rd · 18:22Josh Norris faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
  11. 3rd · 18:22Puck in Netting
  12. 3rd · 18:19Fraser Minten shot blocked by Peyton Krebs

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 16:40Josh Norris Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Rasmus Dahlin (3), Zach Benson (1)4–1
  2. 3rd · 5:58Zach Benson Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Josh Doan (2)3–1
  3. 2nd · 1:54David Pastrnak Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Pavel Zacha (2), Hampus Lindholm (2)2–1
  4. 1st · 12:26Mattias Samuelsson Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: Peyton Krebs (4), Tage Thompson (5)2–0
  5. 1st · 3:25Alex Tuch Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Rasmus Dahlin (2), Tage Thompson (4)1–0

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