ARI @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor5:30 PM PT64°F · 1 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Zac Gallen vs Yoshinobu YamamotoPeacock
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks 2 · Los Angeles Dodgers 8
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Los Angeles Dodgers is the model’s call — Los Angeles Dodgers on the margin numbers, Los Angeles Dodgers on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 79%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 6.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 79%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Zac Gallen SP · #23
- Eduardo Rodriguez SP · #57
- Ketel Marte 2B · #4
- Corbin Carroll RF · #7
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
Arizona Diamondbacks
Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleTucker doubled to right, Ohtani scored.2–5
- ScorePages homered to left center (400 feet), Muncy scored and T. Hernández scored.2–3
- ScoreSmith homered to left center (418 feet), Betts scored.2–8
- ScoreBetts singled to center, Tucker scored.2–6
- ScorePerdomo homered to right (398 feet), Carroll scored.2–0
- ScoreSmith reached on infield single to first, Rojas scored, Freeman to second, Ohtani to third.2–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | — | 8 | 10 | 0 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Corbin Carroll RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Geraldo Perdomo SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .500 | .500 | 1.250 |
| Gabriel Moreno C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .333 | .333 | .333 |
| Carlos Santana 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jordan Lawlar LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .333 | .333 | .667 |
| Alek Thomas CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Tim Tawa LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .333 | .333 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen SP· | 4.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 76-47 | 9.00 | 76 |
| Juan Morillo RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17-10 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Ryan Thompson RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-9 | 0.00 | 11 |
| Taylor Clarke RP | 0.1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16-10 | 108.00 | 16 |
| Andrew Hoffmann RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33-14 | 0.00 | 33 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .333 | .600 | .333 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .250 | .400 | .500 |
| Mookie Betts SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .250 | .400 | .250 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .000 | .200 | .000 |
| Will Smith C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .500 | .500 | 1.250 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | .500 | .750 | .500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .500 | .500 | 1.250 |
| Miguel Rojas SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 95-63 | 3.00 | 95 |
| Blake Treinen RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-8 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Will Klein RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-8 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Tanner Scott RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-7 | 0.00 | 8 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 1st InningMarte struck out swinging.
- 1st InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 1st InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
- 8th InningPages singled to right.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningTucker doubled to right, Ohtani scored.2–5
- 5th InningPages homered to left center (400 feet), Muncy scored and T. Hernández scored.2–3
- 7th InningSmith homered to left center (418 feet), Betts scored.2–8
- 7th InningBetts singled to center, Tucker scored.2–6
- 4th InningPerdomo homered to right (398 feet), Carroll scored.2–0
- 5th InningSmith reached on infield single to first, Rojas scored, Freeman to second, Ohtani to third.2–4