CLE @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:10 PM PT⚾ Tanner Bibee vs Logan GilbertMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVMariners.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians 6 · Seattle Mariners 4
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Cleveland Guardians: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Cleveland Guardians’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 52%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 52%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreDeLauter homered to right center (358 feet).1–0
- ScoreDonovan homered to right (353 feet).1–1
- ScoreCanzone homered to right center (418 feet).1–2
- ScoreDeLauter homered to right center (422 feet).6–4
- 🏃 DoubleRamírez doubled to left, DeLauter scored and Rocchio scored.5–3
- ScoreCanzone homered to center (444 feet).5–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Chase DeLauter RF· | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .600 | .600 | 1.800 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .200 | .200 | .400 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .250 | .400 | .250 |
| Bo Naylor C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B· | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.333 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| Angel Martinez LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Gabriel Arias SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .667 | .750 | 1.000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 78-48 | 5.40 | 78 |
| Connor Brogdon RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-11 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Shawn Armstrong RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10-7 | 13.50 | 10 |
| Erik Sabrowski RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16-11 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Cade Smith RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 0.00 | 13 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .500 | .500 | 1.500 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .250 | .250 | .500 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .250 | .250 | 1.000 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .500 | .500 | 2.000 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .000 | .333 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert SP· | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 86-59 | 5.06 | 86 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-7 | 0.00 | 11 |
| Gabe Speier RP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20-16 | 18.00 | 20 |
| Casey Legumina RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29-17 | 0.00 | 29 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17-10 | 9.00 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningMartínez struck out swinging.
- 6th InningRodríguez struck out swinging.
- 5th InningRivas walked.
- 5th InningDeLauter struck out looking.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningDeLauter homered to right center (358 feet).1–0
- 1st InningDonovan homered to right (353 feet).1–1
- 2nd InningCanzone homered to right center (418 feet).1–2
- 9th InningDeLauter homered to right center (422 feet).6–4
- 7th InningRamírez doubled to left, DeLauter scored and Rocchio scored.5–3
- 7th InningCanzone homered to center (444 feet).5–4
- 5th InningRocchio doubled to right, Hoskins scored and Schneemann scored.3–2
- 5th InningRaley homered to right (344 feet).3–3