TEX @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor4:15 PM ET70°F · 14 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Nathan Eovaldi vs Cristopher SanchezESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers 3 · Philadelphia Phillies 5
Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Philadelphia Phillies is the model’s call — Texas Rangers on the margin numbers, Philadelphia Phillies on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 60%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 2.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 60%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILCody Freeman10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSchwarber homered to left center (383 feet), Turner scored.0–2
- ScoreJansen singled to center, Higashioka scored.3–5
- ScoreBohm homered to right (354 feet), Crawford scored and Turner scored.0–5
- ScoreBurger homered to left center (438 feet), Seager scored.2–5
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .750 | .750 | 1.500 |
| Andrew McCutchen LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| Joc Pederson 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Kyle Higashioka C | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Sam Haggerty LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Evan Carter CF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi SP· | 4.2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 80-55 | 9.64 | 80 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28-18 | 0.00 | 28 |
| Tyler Alexander RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Carter Baumler RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26-15 | 0.00 | 26 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .250 | .250 | 1.000 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .333 | .500 | 1.333 |
| Bryson Stott 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Brandon Marsh LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| J.T. Realmuto C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 87-59 | 0.00 | 87 |
| Jonathan Bowlan RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-6 | 0.00 | 8 |
| Zach Pop RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21-9 | 0.00 | 21 |
| Kyle Backhus RP | 0.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20-12 | 81.00 | 20 |
| Jhoan Duran RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-9 | 0.00 | 12 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningGarcía grounded out to third.
- 8th InningBohm walked.
- 8th InningNimmo walked.
- 5th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningSchwarber homered to left center (383 feet), Turner scored.0–2
- 9th InningJansen singled to center, Higashioka scored.3–5
- 5th InningBohm homered to right (354 feet), Crawford scored and Turner scored.0–5
- 9th InningBurger homered to left center (438 feet), Seager scored.2–5